PolyBot

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Traders

0x1a9e704e25ac77fb24a355068a450e75f28e3d93

0x1a9e704e25ac77fb24a355068a450e75f28e3d93

Realised P&L
$0.55
Volume
$2.1k
Markets traded
83
Open portfolio
$40.84

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded83
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample38 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)97.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Norway vs. Portugal: O/U 8.5 Total Corners · Over0.5801.000$5.00+$2.10
Will “Hate That I Made You Love Me” by Ariana Grande win Video of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards? · No0.7200.885$4.42+$0.82
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026? · No0.7900.765$3.83−$0.13
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7900.715$3.58−$0.38
Eagles vs. Bears · Eagles0.6800.655$3.27−$0.13
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.4370.454$3.11+$0.11
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.6900.585$2.92−$0.53
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? · No0.5900.535$2.67−$0.28
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country? · Yes0.0020.005$2.52+$1.51
Will France win on 2026-09-28? · No0.4900.495$2.48+$0.03
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0460.035$2.28−$0.72
Trump renames AI by September 30? · Yes0.2600.355$1.77+$0.47
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September? · Yes0.7500.205$1.02−$2.73
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0920.068$0.75−$0.26
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0110.007$0.64−$0.37

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-27 20:35Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?SELL0.017$0.90
09-27 14:09Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?BUY0.59$2.95
09-27 14:06Norway vs. Portugal: O/U 8.5 Total CornersBUY0.58$2.90
09-27 14:06Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?BUY0.79$3.95
09-27 14:03Will France win on 2026-09-28?BUY0.49$2.45
09-27 14:00Will Norway win on 2026-09-27?BUY0.43$2.15
09-27 13:59Exact Score: Norway 3 - 1 Portugal?BUY0.051$1.01
09-26 22:39UFC Fight Night: Robert Bryczek vs. Rodolfo Vieira (Middleweight, Main Card)BUY0.62$3.10
09-26 22:38Troy vs. Utah StateBUY0.58$2.90
09-26 22:35Will Mexico win on 2026-09-26?BUY0.64$3.20
09-26 22:34Exact Score: Israel 0 - 0 Republic of Ireland?BUY0.1$1.01
09-26 22:34UFC Fight Night: Raoni Barcelos vs. Raul Rosas Jr. (Bantamweight, Main Card)BUY0.58$2.90
09-26 22:31UFC Fight Night: Christian Edwards vs. Rodolfo Bellato (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)BUY0.66$3.30
09-25 21:27Will United States win on 2026-09-26?BUY0.64$3.20
09-25 21:24Will Jamaica win on 2026-09-25?BUY0.56$2.80