shanze8
0x1a9cfddd25dfa4f5b99f39bb928fdaed4e6a079d
- Realised P&L
- $34.1k
- Volume
- $958.8k
- Markets traded
- 1,029
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- CautionMarkets traded1,029
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration9.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$28.7kat 0.010Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 21?
- +$934.65at 0.929Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 27?
- +$634.46at 0.713Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on September 3?
- +$600.42at 0.663Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 20?
- +$332.38at 0.701Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 22:00 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.9234105764 | $155.41 |
| 10-12 21:00 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.9869834841 | $282.66 |
| 10-12 06:00 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.99 | $107.17 |
| 10-12 06:00 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.930507838 | $499.21 |
| 10-12 04:00 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.9424910558 | $750.80 |
| 10-10 15:30 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.9722641509 | $51.53 |
| 10-10 03:00 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.9676375439 | $809.39 |
| 10-10 01:30 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.9897899856 | $747.00 |
| 10-09 03:00 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.9899060695 | $399.42 |
| 10-06 05:30 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.9760838201 | $611.59 |
| 10-05 01:00 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.99 | $223.66 |
| 10-04 04:00 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.977383754 | $790.76 |
| 10-02 20:27 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.9579669233 | $167.98 |
| 10-01 18:30 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 14°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.9617172369 | $74.48 |
| 10-01 04:00 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.9899630369 | $580.11 |