shanze8
0x1a9cfddd25dfa4f5b99f39bb928fdaed4e6a079d
- Realised P&L
- $4.6k
- Volume
- $332.3k
- Markets traded
- 317
- Open portfolio
- $7.1k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded317
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$939.25at 0.929Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 27?
- +$337.33at 0.697Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 28?
- +$331.82at 0.078Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 7?
- +$304.58at 0.247Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on August 2?
- +$161.04at 0.827Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 06:59 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.8770506656 | $125.85 |
| 08-08 06:56 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.2000744417 | $11.29 |
| 08-08 06:00 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.9856469829 | $122.18 |
| 08-08 05:22 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.1072329828 | $3.88 |
| 08-08 05:17 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.21 | $6.60 |
| 08-08 05:16 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 37°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.1351515152 | $4.46 |
| 08-08 05:16 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.1267767929 | $3.15 |
| 08-08 05:15 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 37°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.11 | $1.90 |
| 08-08 05:15 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.11 | $4.39 |
| 08-08 05:12 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 37°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.0987627948 | $4.44 |
| 08-08 04:59 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.9972132575 | $1.2k |
| 08-08 04:57 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.99 | $104.13 |
| 08-08 04:31 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.999 | $196.40 |
| 08-08 03:30 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.9510732 | $951.07 |
| 08-08 02:30 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.99 | $528.29 |