wopingtangde
0x1a9be099de2f48864d04a2fe15b49810c5e077b6
- Realised P&L
- $-92.37
- Volume
- $8.9k
- Markets traded
- 205
- Open portfolio
- $5.88
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded205
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)8.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Nermin Nikšić be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.046 | $5.88 | −$35.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.58at 0.732Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 4AM ET
- +$5.43at 0.736Penn Quakers vs. Illinois Fighting Illini
- +$5.14at 0.745Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 7AM ET
- +$5.14at 0.745Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 6PM ET
- +$4.63at 0.745Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 11AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 15:40 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 21? | SELL | 0.41 | $2.05 |
| 07-19 14:46 | Will Guadalajara win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura? | SELL | 0.33 | $42.03 |
| 07-19 12:43 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on July 20? | SELL | 0.38 | $4.17 |
| 07-19 09:07 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on July 20? | SELL | 0.4 | $40.65 |
| 07-17 14:52 | Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | SELL | 0.15 | $15.08 |
| 07-10 03:54 | Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | SELL | 0.1965838977 | $10.45 |
| 07-09 06:59 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | SELL | 0.7849857092 | $43.94 |
| 07-09 06:49 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on July 10? | SELL | 0.3 | $17.24 |
| 07-09 03:44 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.91 | $5.94 |
| 07-09 03:44 | Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.989 | $6.99 |
| 07-09 03:44 | Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.972 | $8.99 |
| 06-29 20:59 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.57 | $4.75 |
| 06-28 09:30 | Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.978 | $7.01 |
| 06-26 05:05 | Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.9729999978 | $9.00 |
| 06-26 04:55 | Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.986 | $9.99 |