0xe5450F38375bEC98ED62EEEF1Fb4cd5febf2dB58-1775722402912
0x1a9986c498abc26003f3d575bd344ecfb6aec7fc
- Realised P&L
- $21.65
- Volume
- $576.79
- Markets traded
- 107
- Open portfolio
- $12.82
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded107
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-25? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.595 | $4.88 | −$0.12 |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.595 | $4.88 | −$0.12 |
| Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-10-25? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.405 | $2.08 | +$0.08 |
| Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-10-26? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.495 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET · Up | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.06at 0.366Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
- +$6.76at 0.432Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-21?
- +$5.68at 0.477Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
- +$4.83at 0.517Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
- +$3.52at 0.367Will Bangladesh win on 2026-06-05?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-21 10:27 | Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-21? | BUY | 0.4199999966 | $5.00 |
| 10-21 10:26 | Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-25? | BUY | 0.6099999756 | $5.00 |
| 10-21 10:26 | Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-10-25? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $2.00 |
| 10-21 10:26 | Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-10-26? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 10-21 10:26 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25? | BUY | 0.6099999756 | $5.00 |
| 08-28 08:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET | BUY | 0.2699999681 | $5.00 |
| 08-28 08:21 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-08-28? | BUY | 0.8 | $5.00 |
| 08-12 17:14 | Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12? | BUY | 0.5699999059 | $2.00 |
| 08-12 17:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET | BUY | 0.3499999615 | $5.00 |
| 07-28 07:16 | Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? | BUY | 0.2939998395 | $1.00 |
| 07-28 07:16 | Will Roberto Mancini be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team? | BUY | 0.6489999069 | $2.00 |
| 07-24 08:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 07-20 10:05 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.85 | $2.00 |
| 07-15 06:58 | Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.4019997902 | $1.00 |
| 07-15 06:57 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.3174998135 | $1.00 |