0x1a9534d80ae23fae7e98f4116e0e4bdaf8f2acaf
- Realised P&L
- $-1.5k
- Volume
- $24.3k
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $211.64
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration92.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-09-16? · Yes | 0.422 | 0.385 | $195.04 | −$18.55 |
| Will Atlético Nacional win on 2026-09-20? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.029 | $13.11 | −$231.38 |
| Will Liverpool Montevideo win on 2026-09-20? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.004 | $2.56 | −$191.05 |
| Will América de Cali win on 2026-09-20? · Yes | 0.334 | 0.001 | $0.49 | −$324.71 |
| Spread: CA Paranaense (-1.5) · CA Paranaense | 0.391 | 0.001 | $0.25 | −$193.92 |
| Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-09-20? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.001 | $0.19 | −$81.47 |
| Spread: CR Flamengo (-2.5) · CR Flamengo | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$47.75 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$743.38at 0.402Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)
- +$581.36at 0.462Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-20?
- +$508.87at 0.483Spread: FC Porto (-1.5)
- +$456.65at 0.522Will FC Lugano win on 2026-09-20?
- +$423.65at 0.321Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-09-20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 23:47 | Will Liverpool Montevideo win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.3399999997 | $193.61 |
| 09-20 23:44 | Will América de Cali win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.3781211369 | $80.50 |
| 09-20 23:33 | Spread: CA Vélez Sarsfield (-1.5) | BUY | 0.1799999998 | $47.93 |
| 09-20 23:19 | Spread: CR Flamengo (-2.5) | BUY | 0.0599999999 | $47.75 |
| 09-20 22:50 | Spread: CA Paranaense (-1.5) | BUY | 0.3912745592 | $194.17 |
| 09-20 22:47 | Will América de Cali win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.3273610822 | $48.38 |
| 09-20 22:47 | Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5) | BUY | 0.54 | $48.87 |
| 09-20 22:43 | Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.2099999999 | $81.66 |
| 09-20 22:42 | Spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5) | BUY | 0.5099999992 | $244.02 |
| 09-20 22:41 | Will Atlético Nacional win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.5499999997 | $244.49 |
| 09-20 22:17 | Will América de Cali win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.32 | $196.32 |
| 09-20 22:10 | Spread: CA Belgrano (-1.5) | BUY | 0.3799999994 | $193.98 |
| 09-20 22:09 | Spread: CA Vélez Sarsfield (-1.5) | BUY | 0.1789567377 | $144.09 |
| 09-20 21:42 | Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5) | BUY | 0.48 | $243.66 |
| 09-20 21:14 | Spread: FC Porto (-2.5) | BUY | 0.284926238 | $96.57 |