PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

fedecomg

0x1a9524f3f0bea90e94c562f268f5a3079d4ffc04

Realised P&L
$-3.26
Volume
$6.7k
Markets traded
33
Open portfolio
$19.18

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded33
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample26 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration58.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Nothing Ever Happens: Nuclear Edition · Yes0.8901.000$11.24+$1.24
Will Justin Gavri win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship? · No0.9991.000$3.59+$0.00
Will Eric Adams finish his term as NYC mayor? · Yes0.9601.000$2.08+$0.08
Will Chef Phillip win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship? · No0.9991.000$1.20+$0.00
Will Xerox announce bankruptcy before 2027? · No0.8800.940$1.07+$0.07
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$2.00
Trump cabinet member out by December 31, 2025? · Yes0.7600.000$0.00−$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-25 05:52Will Justin Gavri win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?SELL0.998$282.43
11-22 10:17Will Xerox announce bankruptcy before 2027?BUY0.8799999648$1.00
11-22 10:16Nothing Ever Happens: Nuclear EditionBUY0.8899999947$10.00
11-22 10:15Will Justin Gavri win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?BUY0.999$286.30
11-22 10:15Will Chef Phillip win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?SELL0.998$300.80
11-22 10:14Will Chef Phillip win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?BUY0.999$302.30
11-22 10:13Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?BUY0.001$2.00
06-12 07:47Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be between 5% and 10%?BUY0.699999755$2.00
06-12 07:46Andrew Cuomo charged before September?BUY0.95$2.00
06-12 07:46Will Eric Adams finish his term as NYC mayor?BUY0.96$2.00
06-12 07:46Will the Democratic candidate win the NYC mayoral election?BUY0.8789998378$2.00
06-12 07:45Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce before July?SELL0.977$2.17
03-09 02:00Trump cabinet member out by December 31, 2025?BUY0.76$2.00
03-09 01:59Trump cabinet member out before July?BUY0.7299999087$2.00
03-09 01:59Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce before July?BUY0.9$2.00