3156gg
0x1a925076b74d2d6134ace8fa1219b248da1635bc
- Realised P&L
- $848.51
- Volume
- $117.3k
- Markets traded
- 1,542
- Open portfolio
- $32.99
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,542
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration6.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$193.12at 0.008Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 17?
- +$122.52at 0.097Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 14?
- +$86.48at 0.015Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on July 4?
- +$85.46at 0.131Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on April 2?
- +$83.01at 0.142Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on May 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-09 06:50 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C on August 9? | SELL | 0.997 | $55.68 |
| 08-09 06:03 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.2735090909 | $15.04 |
| 08-09 04:56 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on August 8? | SELL | 0.999 | $31.50 |
| 08-09 04:56 | Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.999 | $101.07 |
| 08-09 04:44 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on August 9? | SELL | 0.9266666667 | $27.80 |
| 08-09 03:12 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C on August 9? | SELL | 0.999 | $48.44 |
| 08-09 02:49 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.16 | $4.80 |
| 08-09 01:16 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.9 | $43.64 |
| 08-08 23:54 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on August 8? | BUY | 0.9184078655 | $28.96 |
| 08-08 16:43 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.5 | $3.79 |
| 08-08 16:14 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.19 | $2.64 |
| 08-08 15:39 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.17 | $0.85 |
| 08-08 15:38 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.18 | $0.90 |
| 08-08 15:32 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.2353333333 | $3.53 |
| 08-08 15:26 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.4250649968 | $26.81 |