3156gg
0x1a925076b74d2d6134ace8fa1219b248da1635bc
- Realised P&L
- $552.63
- Volume
- $147.1k
- Markets traded
- 1,976
- Open portfolio
- $194.46
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,976
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration12.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$193.12at 0.008Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 17?
- +$122.52at 0.097Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 14?
- +$88.16at 0.227Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on September 14?
- +$87.17at 0.150Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on September 5?
- +$86.49at 0.015Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on July 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 14:18 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.3194810878 | $10.22 |
| 09-28 13:06 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.9 | $46.17 |
| 09-28 12:50 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.84 | $17.20 |
| 09-28 12:46 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.1518363636 | $8.35 |
| 09-28 11:47 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.7244030919 | $25.30 |
| 09-28 10:15 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.1097660064 | $2.38 |
| 09-28 10:05 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.999 | $37.49 |
| 09-28 04:45 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.19 | $1.54 |
| 09-28 03:59 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.7455555556 | $13.42 |
| 09-28 03:26 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.8276140769 | $27.75 |
| 09-28 03:25 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.76 | $11.40 |
| 09-28 03:22 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.65 | $9.03 |
| 09-28 01:29 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.0783399734 | $2.36 |
| 09-27 14:26 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.03 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 12:25 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 27? | SELL | 0.42 | $16.80 |