Premium
0x1a9105e21a557275a32564f746719878afe3429d
- Realised P&L
- $-11.67
- Volume
- $5.1k
- Markets traded
- 53
- Open portfolio
- $37.98
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded53
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration91.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at >$10 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 21 – Sep 25? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $37.98 | +$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$109.40at 0.500Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?
- +$2.13at 0.976Biden drops out by July 12?
- +$1.96at 0.980Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
- +$1.45at 0.952Will Elon Musk give a speech at Bitcoin conference?
- +$0.80at 0.992Will Netflix reach $455 in March?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 02:39 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at >$10 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 21 – Sep 25? | BUY | 0.999 | $37.96 |
| 08-27 09:00 | Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in August 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $49.95 |
| 07-17 08:47 | Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $25.97 |
| 06-01 09:19 | Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? | BUY | 0.984 | $28.54 |
| 05-13 09:04 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $160 in May? | BUY | 0.995 | $40.80 |
| 04-11 14:49 | Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | BUY | 0.98 | $32.82 |
| 03-16 09:03 | Will Netflix reach $455 in March? | BUY | 0.992 | $98.90 |
| 03-01 02:03 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $209.58 |
| 02-12 04:00 | Will the US next strike Iran on February 11, 2026 (ET)? | BUY | 0.999 | $129.87 |
| 01-20 06:22 | Will the US next strike Iran on January 19, 2026 (ET)? | BUY | 0.9989999995 | $208.68 |
| 12-25 07:55 | Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO in 2025? | BUY | 0.997 | $28.59 |
| 11-21 09:29 | Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 21? | BUY | 0.996 | $38.00 |
| 11-01 13:37 | Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $38.40 |
| 09-28 16:12 | Will Trump meet with Putin by September 30? | BUY | 0.9989999949 | $118.28 |
| 08-16 01:28 | Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on August 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $18.63 |