0x1a8b5b44e2b6a0bb1a54d8e37f59d027797e89c9
- Realised P&L
- $-1.34
- Volume
- $91.35
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $16.79
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.354 | $3.22 | +$1.22 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · Yes | 0.360 | 1.000 | $3.08 | +$1.97 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · No | 0.660 | 1.000 | $3.03 | +$1.03 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.245 | $2.23 | +$0.23 |
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $330 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes | 0.760 | 0.675 | $1.78 | −$0.22 |
| Will China's CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in July 2026? · No | 0.760 | 0.625 | $1.64 | −$0.36 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No | 0.400 | 0.265 | $1.32 | −$0.68 |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.160 | $0.48 | −$0.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.47at 0.520Will Warsh say "Shock" during July Press Conference?
- +$1.47at 0.520Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?
- +$0.69at 0.744Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$0.68at 0.730Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?
- +$0.58at 0.770Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 17:36 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.2199999164 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 09:35 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $330 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.76 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 01:35 | Will China's CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in July 2026? | BUY | 0.7599998024 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 17:33 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.6599998944 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 09:33 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 00:57 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.2199999164 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 16:56 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.3599998314 | $1.11 |
| 07-31 20:30 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.6 | $1.74 |
| 07-31 12:24 | Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5099999268 | $1.95 |
| 07-30 22:41 | Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during cabinet meeting? | BUY | 0.5899999941 | $2.01 |
| 07-30 09:00 | Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5019999626 | $1.53 |
| 07-29 22:28 | New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.53 |
| 07-29 07:31 | Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.53 |
| 07-28 22:51 | Will Warsh say "Shock" during July Press Conference? | BUY | 0.5199998953 | $1.59 |
| 07-28 11:36 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $340 Week of July 27 2026? | BUY | 0.71 | $2.00 |