0x1a8b5b44e2b6a0bb1a54d8e37f59d027797e89c9
0x1a8b5b44e2b6a0bb1a54d8e37f59d027797e89c9
- Realised P&L
- $-9.90
- Volume
- $202.74
- Markets traded
- 56
- Open portfolio
- $2.88
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded56
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $365 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.730 | 0.715 | $1.96 | −$0.04 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.230 | $0.92 | −$1.08 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.92at 0.259Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in August?
- +$2.39at 0.462Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?
- +$2.29at 0.472Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in August?
- +$1.94at 0.371Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?
- +$1.92at 0.510Will fewer than 180 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 10-August 16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 01:02 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $365 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.7299999087 | $2.00 |
| 09-22 17:02 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 16:46 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.6299999181 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 08:23 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $2.00 |
| 09-13 22:48 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7899999289 | $2.00 |
| 09-13 14:38 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.00 |
| 09-10 00:29 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $2.00 |
| 09-08 15:39 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999954 | $2.00 |
| 09-08 07:36 | LAPTOP airdrop by September 9? | BUY | 0.7599999848 | $2.00 |
| 09-07 22:00 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.4499999438 | $2.00 |
| 09-07 12:30 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.76 | $2.00 |
| 09-07 09:58 | Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | BUY | 0.5199999896 | $2.00 |
| 09-04 00:15 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of August 31 2026? | BUY | 0.6099999786 | $2.00 |
| 08-31 13:51 | Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in August? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.00 |
| 08-31 05:49 | Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in August? | BUY | 0.7499997187 | $2.00 |