txwd9090
0x1a8816a6397ccd62feabeb82f31bbd701557f938
- Realised P&L
- $-563.59
- Volume
- $22.8k
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $5.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Pacers (-3.5) · Pacers | 0.490 | 0.495 | $1.5k | +$14.96 |
| Spread: Magic (-3.5) · Magic | 0.463 | 0.455 | $962.32 | −$17.70 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5) · Grizzlies | 0.510 | 0.505 | $780.23 | −$7.72 |
| Spread: Lakers (-6.5) · Lakers | 0.500 | 0.505 | $757.50 | +$7.50 |
| Spread: Clippers (-5.5) · Kings | 0.520 | 0.505 | $712.54 | −$21.16 |
| Spread: Clippers (-4.5) · Kings | 0.480 | 0.475 | $618.45 | −$6.51 |
| Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 219.5 · Over | 0.510 | 0.505 | $382.79 | −$3.79 |
| Timberwolves vs. Heat: O/U 240.5 · Under | 0.510 | 0.510 | $194.31 | +$0.00 |
| Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5) · Liverpool FC | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$272.58 |
| Nottingham Forest FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$411.32 |
| Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-1.5) · Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 0.488 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$268.92 |
| Club Atlético de Madrid vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 2.5 · Under | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$308.70 |
| Villarreal CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5 · Under | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$194.56 |
| Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5 · Under | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$283.80 |
| Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5) · Valencia CF | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$268.63 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$504.40at 0.480Leeds United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5
- +$371.53at 0.470Manchester City FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 3.5
- +$318.75at 0.490Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-9.5)
- +$313.23at 0.470Cagliari Calcio vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5
- +$308.00at 0.500Coventry City FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-21 17:12 | Timberwolves vs. Heat: O/U 240.5 | BUY | 0.51 | $194.31 |
| 10-21 12:25 | Spread: Magic (-3.5) | BUY | 0.47 | $335.11 |
| 08-30 15:08 | Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-1.5) | BUY | 0.49 | $235.69 |
| 08-30 15:04 | Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-1.5) | BUY | 0.48 | $28.80 |
| 08-30 15:02 | Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-1.5) | BUY | 0.47 | $4.43 |