0x1a86ef4c2f5596bb6861257024af6299f2970079
0x1a86ef4c2f5596bb6861257024af6299f2970079
- Realised P&L
- $-14.5k
- Volume
- $592.9k
- Markets traded
- 4,454
- Open portfolio
- $16.34
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,454
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration18.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: The Otter Side vs Team Aqua ASD (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B · The Otter Side | 0.500 | 0.505 | $10.10 | +$0.10 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on September 22? · No | 0.660 | 0.900 | $1.36 | +$0.36 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on September 22? · No | 0.790 | 1.000 | $1.27 | +$0.27 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on September 22? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.665 | $1.19 | +$0.19 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on September 22? · No | 0.850 | 0.925 | $1.09 | +$0.09 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on September 22? · No | 0.810 | 0.815 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on September 22? · No | 0.620 | 0.205 | $0.33 | −$0.67 |
| LoL: Movistar KOI Fénix vs Bilibili Gaming Junior (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group B · Bilibili Gaming Junior | 0.390 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on September 21? · No | 0.490 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$921.08at 0.159Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Lynn Vision - Map 2 Winner
- +$861.86at 0.098LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 - Game 1 Winner
- +$666.92at 0.259LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers (BO5) - KeSPA Cup Playoffs
- +$548.46at 0.241Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
- +$472.30at 0.540Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 06:09 | LoL: Movistar KOI Fénix vs Bilibili Gaming Junior (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group B | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 05:11 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on September 21? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.33 |
| 09-22 05:11 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on September 21? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.21 |
| 09-21 22:37 | Giants vs. Rams | BUY | 0.73 | $9.86 |
| 09-21 19:07 | LoL: Team Aqua ASD vs CITA Kaizen (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B | SELL | 0.4622007042 | $10.50 |
| 09-21 18:55 | LoL: Team Aqua ASD vs CITA Kaizen (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B | BUY | 0.42 | $9.54 |
| 09-21 18:20 | LoL: Team Aqua ASD vs CITA Kaizen - Game 2 Winner | SELL | 0.4485483871 | $11.12 |
| 09-21 17:30 | LoL: Skillcamp Esport vs Arctic Pandas - Game 2 Winner | SELL | 0.999 | $35.54 |
| 09-21 17:00 | LoL: Skillcamp Esport vs Arctic Pandas (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A | SELL | 0.434 | $16.01 |
| 09-21 16:31 | LoL: SU Esports vs Verdant (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C | SELL | 0.999 | $15.85 |
| 09-21 15:19 | LoL: SU Esports vs Verdant (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C | BUY | 0.62 | $9.84 |
| 09-21 14:56 | Game Handicap: LDS (-1.5) vs Pyramid IV Esports (+1.5) | BUY | 0.51 | $9.99 |
| 09-21 12:30 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on September 21? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.09 |
| 09-21 12:29 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.10 |
| 09-21 12:29 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.11 |