BernardB
0x1a831935329dba31c9ca27e54d29abd9dc70a9a0
- Realised P&L
- $-2.6k
- Volume
- $551.6k
- Markets traded
- 72
- Open portfolio
- $846.74
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded72
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration48.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration74.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.007 | $629.84 | −$290.88 |
| Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.001 | $88.73 | −$568.02 |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes | 0.880 | 0.945 | $87.50 | +$6.02 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · Yes | 0.126 | 0.065 | $34.23 | −$32.17 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.080 | $6.43 | −$13.78 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$64.67at 0.183Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
- +$20.70at 0.351Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$11.41at 0.771Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$10.87at 0.310Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
- +$10.17at 0.630US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 07:40 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.8799999914 | $81.48 |
| 09-16 07:37 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.37 | $84.08 |
| 09-08 10:38 | Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.008 | $1.24 |
| 08-28 14:57 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2999999974 | $68.17 |
| 08-28 14:53 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.51 | $72.18 |
| 08-20 15:48 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $17.37 |
| 08-20 15:46 | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $18.00 |
| 08-20 15:38 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.73 |
| 08-20 15:37 | Will Ülle Madise be the next President of Estonia? | SELL | 0.957 | $1.80 |
| 08-20 15:35 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.11 |
| 08-09 15:23 | Will Ülle Madise be the next President of Estonia? | BUY | 0.7699997079 | $1.45 |
| 07-29 18:40 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.3399999972 | $48.12 |
| 07-29 18:38 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.999 | $50.00 |
| 07-29 13:54 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7619999819 | $38.14 |
| 07-29 13:52 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.08 | $37.78 |