PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

BernardB

0x1a831935329dba31c9ca27e54d29abd9dc70a9a0

Realised P&L
$-2.6k
Volume
$551.6k
Markets traded
72
Open portfolio
$846.74

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded72
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration48.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration74.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0110.007$629.84$290.88
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0040.001$88.73$568.02
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.8800.945$87.50+$6.02
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · Yes0.1260.065$34.23$32.17
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.2500.080$6.43$13.78

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 07:40Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.8799999914$81.48
09-16 07:37Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.37$84.08
09-08 10:38Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.008$1.24
08-28 14:57Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.2999999974$68.17
08-28 14:53Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.51$72.18
08-20 15:48Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.25$17.37
08-20 15:46Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?SELL0.06$18.00
08-20 15:38Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.25$1.73
08-20 15:37Will Ülle Madise be the next President of Estonia?SELL0.957$1.80
08-20 15:35Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.25$1.11
08-09 15:23Will Ülle Madise be the next President of Estonia?BUY0.7699997079$1.45
07-29 18:40Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.3399999972$48.12
07-29 18:38Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.999$50.00
07-29 13:54Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.7619999819$38.14
07-29 13:52Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?SELL0.08$37.78