PolyBot

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Traders

donothackmeee

0x1a81418ae297c76d7c67eabe4c3f790be0bc6cf9

Realised P&L
$24.0k
Volume
$1.06M
Markets traded
819
Open portfolio
$25.85

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded819
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration57.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-03 09:12Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 3?BUY0.0680002759$9.86
10-03 09:11Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 3?SELL0.2055647546$6.95
10-03 00:00Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 3?BUY0.1780646406$64.63
10-02 23:51Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on October 3?BUY0.008$1.88
10-02 23:46Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on October 3?BUY0.4058856713$150.00
10-02 17:01Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on October 3?BUY0.3543401859$62.91
10-02 17:00Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on October 3?BUY0.005$0.51
10-01 23:11Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on October 2?BUY0.2197560976$45.05
10-01 23:08Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on October 2?BUY0.5782940319$200.00
10-01 23:06Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on October 2?BUY0.3994647173$150.00
10-01 23:05Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on October 2?BUY0.3388184407$181.00
10-01 10:43Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on October 1?BUY0.4495564217$48.44
10-01 10:40Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on October 1?SELL0.5105464455$107.73
10-01 10:10Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on October 1?BUY0.026$0.61
10-01 10:02Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on October 1?BUY0.040614792$1.05