donothackmeee
0x1a81418ae297c76d7c67eabe4c3f790be0bc6cf9
- Realised P&L
- $24.0k
- Volume
- $1.06M
- Markets traded
- 819
- Open portfolio
- $25.85
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded819
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.6kat 0.206Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on September 15?
- +$3.3kat 0.149Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 20?
- +$2.7kat 0.240Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 19?
- +$2.7kat 0.043Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on August 27?
- +$2.6kat 0.089Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C or higher on August 20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 09:12 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.0680002759 | $9.86 |
| 10-03 09:11 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 3? | SELL | 0.2055647546 | $6.95 |
| 10-03 00:00 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.1780646406 | $64.63 |
| 10-02 23:51 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.008 | $1.88 |
| 10-02 23:46 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.4058856713 | $150.00 |
| 10-02 17:01 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.3543401859 | $62.91 |
| 10-02 17:00 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.005 | $0.51 |
| 10-01 23:11 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.2197560976 | $45.05 |
| 10-01 23:08 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.5782940319 | $200.00 |
| 10-01 23:06 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.3994647173 | $150.00 |
| 10-01 23:05 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.3388184407 | $181.00 |
| 10-01 10:43 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.4495564217 | $48.44 |
| 10-01 10:40 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on October 1? | SELL | 0.5105464455 | $107.73 |
| 10-01 10:10 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.026 | $0.61 |
| 10-01 10:02 | Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.040614792 | $1.05 |