0x1a8014c387f5d293778c4edbcf90e50b7b9e120e
0x1a8014c387f5d293778c4edbcf90e50b7b9e120e
- Realised P&L
- $-4.03
- Volume
- $184.44
- Markets traded
- 83
- Open portfolio
- $3.15
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded83
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 2? · Up | 0.690 | 0.973 | $1.41 | +$0.41 |
| 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by September 30? · No | 0.780 | 0.825 | $1.06 | +$0.06 |
| Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 Week of September 28 2026? · Yes | 0.740 | 0.505 | $0.68 | −$0.32 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.31at 0.308Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,450 Week of August 10 2026?
- +$2.13at 0.320US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
- +$1.91at 0.349Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $112.50 Week of August 31 2026?
- +$1.68at 0.379Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $765 Week of September 21 2026?
- +$1.48at 0.410Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $330 Week of August 17 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 06:05 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 2? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 18:58 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $185 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 10:17 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 11:56 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 02:19 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 01:56 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 10:22 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 21:38 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $80 in September? | BUY | 0.7399996448 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 13:38 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 25? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 05:05 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 19:55 | 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by September 30? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 11:42 | Will Trump say "Mineral" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 15:41 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $201 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 07:35 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 22:23 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $765 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |