0x1a7ddd314f295c2b2f60ebbd0568fabcb14cdbed
0x1a7ddd314f295c2b2f60ebbd0568fabcb14cdbed
- Realised P&L
- $67.93
- Volume
- $264.32
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $30.22
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar25.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration34.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Rams (-1.5) · Rams | 0.500 | 0.570 | $19.68 | +$2.42 |
| Rams vs. Eagles · Rams | 0.573 | 0.615 | $10.54 | +$0.71 |
| Ole Miss vs. Florida · Ole Miss | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.88 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$25.89at 0.602Eagles vs. Bears: O/U 44.5
- +$13.21at 0.425Georgia Tech vs. Stanford
- +$9.27at 0.680Spread: Ravens (-2.5)
- +$8.70at 0.530Spread: Eagles (-3.5)
- +$4.31at 0.500Ducks vs. Kings
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 03:50 | Eagles vs. Bears: O/U 44.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $65.21 |
| 09-28 22:12 | Spread: Eagles (-3.5) | BUY | 0.5299999989 | $9.81 |
| 09-28 22:11 | Spread: Eagles (-3.5) | BUY | 0.4799999216 | $1.96 |
| 09-28 21:48 | Rams vs. Eagles | BUY | 0.5799999354 | $3.41 |
| 09-28 21:48 | Rams vs. Eagles | BUY | 0.57 | $6.42 |
| 09-28 18:35 | Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | BUY | 0.83 | $19.30 |
| 09-28 06:04 | Eagles vs. Bears: O/U 44.5 | BUY | 0.5999999878 | $9.83 |
| 09-28 05:59 | Eagles vs. Bears: O/U 44.5 | BUY | 0.5999999939 | $19.67 |
| 09-28 01:18 | Eagles vs. Bears: O/U 44.5 | BUY | 0.6099999795 | $9.83 |
| 09-26 18:44 | Texas vs. Tennessee | BUY | 0.77 | $4.87 |
| 09-26 18:44 | Ole Miss vs. Florida | BUY | 0.3899999848 | $4.88 |
| 09-26 18:43 | Georgia Tech vs. Stanford | BUY | 0.42999997 | $4.88 |
| 09-26 15:13 | Georgia Tech vs. Stanford | BUY | 0.4199999862 | $4.88 |