PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x1A7363d49E90c6EB140a1a65F176eE2e2c040299-1771676382888

0x1a7363d49e90c6eb140a1a65f176ee2e2c040299

Realised P&L
$-29.14
Volume
$281.46
Markets traded
32
Open portfolio
$2.37

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-10.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded32
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration42.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration64.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Domino's Pizza (DPZ) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.4100.630$1.54+$0.54
Will FedEx (FDX) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.4200.350$0.83−$0.17
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET · Up0.7700.000$0.00−$1.00
Solana Up or Down - October 6, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET · Up0.1000.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET · Down0.6090.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET · Down0.3960.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET · Up0.6300.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET · Up0.5180.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET · Up0.5100.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET · Down0.2620.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00−$8.00
Will PepsiCo (PEP) beat quarterly earnings? · No0.1800.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET · Up0.5890.000$0.00−$7.00
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics? · Yes0.5400.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET · Up0.1840.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 17:35Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:35PM-1:40PM ETSELL0.44$2.14
10-08 17:35Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:35PM-1:40PM ETBUY0.4099999816$2.00
10-08 17:33Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:30PM-1:35PM ETSELL0.99$1.18
10-08 17:32Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:30PM-1:35PM ETBUY0.84$1.00
10-07 14:21Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETBUY0.5099998215$1.00
10-06 20:28Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:25PM-4:30PM ETBUY0.77$1.00
10-06 20:15Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ETSELL0.99$2.10
10-06 20:10Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ETBUY0.469999906$1.00
10-06 20:10Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:05PM-4:10PM ETSELL0.99$1.05
10-06 20:09Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:05PM-4:10PM ETBUY0.9399999624$1.00
10-06 20:00Will Apple (AAPL) close above $330 on October 6?SELL0.999$1.01
10-06 19:59Solana Up or Down - October 6, 3:55PM-4:00PM ETBUY0.1$1.00
10-06 19:42Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:40PM-3:45PM ETBUY0.6299998362$1.00
10-06 19:35Will Apple (AAPL) close above $330 on October 6?BUY0.99$1.00
10-06 19:30Will FedEx (FDX) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.4199998908$1.00