14156
0x1a66c921a44e7f0813c7b5746990be3f557e1c98
- Realised P&L
- $419.08
- Volume
- $18.5k
- Markets traded
- 83
- Open portfolio
- $250.01
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded83
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$101.06at 0.053Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 18?
- +$98.90at 0.011Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 17?
- +$90.79at 0.104Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 17?
- +$72.55at 0.204Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on October 17?
- +$61.80at 0.334Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 04:41 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.1532204457 | $8.00 |
| 10-18 04:39 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 18°C on October 18? | SELL | 0.0415286585 | $3.41 |
| 10-18 04:27 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on October 18? | BUY | 0.027 | $1.60 |
| 10-18 04:22 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on October 18? | SELL | 0.9074682599 | $48.60 |
| 10-18 04:04 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.4596838846 | $24.00 |
| 10-18 03:55 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.6570135637 | $11.00 |
| 10-18 03:49 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.4716808079 | $50.00 |
| 10-18 03:49 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.0078192376 | $1.70 |
| 10-18 03:49 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.0514321183 | $2.00 |
| 10-18 03:41 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.025 | $1.30 |
| 10-18 03:35 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on October 18? | SELL | 0.21 | $6.30 |
| 10-18 03:35 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on October 18? | SELL | 0.2975 | $5.95 |
| 10-18 03:33 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.0435189868 | $4.40 |
| 10-18 03:32 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.4172876254 | $20.00 |
| 10-18 03:30 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |