PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

14156

0x1a66c921a44e7f0813c7b5746990be3f557e1c98

Realised P&L
$419.08
Volume
$18.5k
Markets traded
83
Open portfolio
$250.01

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded83
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-18 04:41Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 18?BUY0.1532204457$8.00
10-18 04:39Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 18°C on October 18?SELL0.0415286585$3.41
10-18 04:27Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on October 18?BUY0.027$1.60
10-18 04:22Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on October 18?SELL0.9074682599$48.60
10-18 04:04Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 18?BUY0.4596838846$24.00
10-18 03:55Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 18?BUY0.6570135637$11.00
10-18 03:49Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 18?BUY0.4716808079$50.00
10-18 03:49Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on October 18?BUY0.0078192376$1.70
10-18 03:49Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on October 18?BUY0.0514321183$2.00
10-18 03:41Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 18?BUY0.025$1.30
10-18 03:35Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on October 18?SELL0.21$6.30
10-18 03:35Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on October 18?SELL0.2975$5.95
10-18 03:33Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 18?BUY0.0435189868$4.40
10-18 03:32Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 18?BUY0.4172876254$20.00
10-18 03:30Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 18?BUY0.001$1.00