1eth10ksoon
0x1a6298b9ac9f8de066550757ebf0d9f586303a40
- Realised P&L
- $935.81
- Volume
- $30.4k
- Markets traded
- 140
- Open portfolio
- $275.94
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded140
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration92.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.110Maduro out by January 31, 2026?
- +$39.50at 0.210Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
- +$24.63at 0.190Ethereum all time high before 2026?
- +$15.24at 0.762Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2025?
- +$13.56at 0.230Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-07 20:31 | Anthropic CEO arrested? | BUY | 0.995 | $30.70 |
| 06-07 20:30 | Will Consensys IPO by June 30 2026? | BUY | 0.993 | $98.24 |
| 06-07 20:29 | Will Iran legalize gay marriage? | BUY | 0.979 | $35.17 |
| 06-07 20:28 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.989 | $22.75 |
| 06-07 14:08 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.86 | $43.00 |
| 05-27 06:21 | Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | BUY | 0.963 | $9.63 |
| 05-27 06:20 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | BUY | 0.983 | $17.69 |
| 05-27 06:18 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | BUY | 0.986 | $15.78 |
| 04-19 08:50 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30? | BUY | 0.984 | $56.09 |
| 04-19 08:48 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30? | BUY | 0.958 | $33.53 |
| 04-19 08:43 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.47 | $3.47 |
| 03-17 05:23 | Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? | BUY | 0.84 | $15.12 |
| 03-17 05:21 | Will Netanyahu visit NYC by March 31? | BUY | 0.99 | $25.74 |
| 03-17 05:19 | Will Petr Yan fight Dominick Cruz next? | BUY | 0.993 | $40.98 |
| 03-17 05:18 | Will Petr Yan fight Umar Nurmagomedov next? | BUY | 0.0256428571 | $1.85 |