PolyBot

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Traders

1eth10ksoon

0x1a6298b9ac9f8de066550757ebf0d9f586303a40

Realised P&L
$935.81
Volume
$30.4k
Markets traded
140
Open portfolio
$275.94

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.1%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded140
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration92.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Consensys IPO by June 30 2026? · No0.9931.000$98.93+$0.69
Will Petr Yan fight Dominick Cruz next? · No0.9931.000$41.27+$0.29
Will Iran legalize gay marriage? · No0.9790.981$35.24+$0.07
Anthropic CEO arrested? · No0.9951.000$30.85+$0.15
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026? · No0.9891.000$23.00+$0.25
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026? · No0.9200.935$17.77+$0.28
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? · No0.9631.000$10.00+$0.37
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · No0.8900.964$9.63+$0.73
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.4610.060$3.47$23.00
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0450.059$2.33+$0.54
Will Ian Machado Garry be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0760.015$1.80$7.32
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1200.055$1.65$1.95
Will Petr Yan fight Umar Nurmagomedov next? · Yes0.0260.000$0.00$1.85

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-07 20:31Anthropic CEO arrested?BUY0.995$30.70
06-07 20:30Will Consensys IPO by June 30 2026?BUY0.993$98.24
06-07 20:29Will Iran legalize gay marriage?BUY0.979$35.17
06-07 20:28Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?BUY0.989$22.75
06-07 14:08Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?SELL0.86$43.00
05-27 06:21Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?BUY0.963$9.63
05-27 06:20Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?BUY0.983$17.69
05-27 06:18Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?BUY0.986$15.78
04-19 08:50Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?BUY0.984$56.09
04-19 08:48Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?BUY0.958$33.53
04-19 08:43Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.47$3.47
03-17 05:23Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? BUY0.84$15.12
03-17 05:21Will Netanyahu visit NYC by March 31?BUY0.99$25.74
03-17 05:19Will Petr Yan fight Dominick Cruz next?BUY0.993$40.98
03-17 05:18Will Petr Yan fight Umar Nurmagomedov next?BUY0.0256428571$1.85