Dariocoyo
0x1a5da5a68830882a0564a0e2ba7079fe71cc71ad
- Realised P&L
- $2.21
- Volume
- $33.84
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $2.38
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration25.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JPMorgan Chase (JPM) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.825 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
| Will BlackRock (BLK) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.800 | $1.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will FedEx (FDX) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.840 | 0.295 | $0.35 | −$0.65 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.87at 0.700Will Marvell Tech (MRVL) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$0.50at 0.671Will Monster Beverage (MNST) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$0.43at 0.701Will HP (HPQ) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$0.41at 0.750Will Oracle (ORCL) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$0.39at 0.720Will Smith & Wesson (SWBI) beat quarterly earnings?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 19:02 | Will JPMorgan Chase (JPM) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 19:00 | Will BlackRock (BLK) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 11:48 | Will Micron (MU) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 11:44 | Will Cintas (CTAS) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 20:37 | Will FedEx (FDX) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.84 | $1.00 |
| 09-02 21:59 | Will Smith & Wesson (SWBI) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.7099999432 | $1.00 |
| 09-02 21:46 | Will Kroger (KR) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.889999911 | $1.00 |
| 08-30 06:35 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | SELL | 0.9 | $0.97 |
| 08-30 06:29 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.919999448 | $1.00 |
| 08-27 03:46 | Will Palo Alto Networks (PANW) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.9459999614 | $1.03 |
| 08-27 03:34 | Will Oracle (ORCL) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.7399995067 | $1.20 |
| 08-20 18:13 | Will HP (HPQ) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 08-20 11:40 | Will Walmart (WMT) beat quarterly earnings? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.14 |
| 08-20 10:51 | Will Marvell Tech (MRVL) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.8099999757 | $1.00 |
| 08-20 10:47 | Will Deere & Co (DE) beat quarterly earnings? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.12 |