sizif
0x1a5cbf65ac2014d27b4a64c0718d8fc304366704
- Realised P&L
- $-818.29
- Volume
- $44.9k
- Markets traded
- 366
- Open portfolio
- $466.09
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded366
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$65.67at 0.148Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?
- +$59.28at 0.108Will annual inflation be 3.7% in September?
- +$52.53at 0.195Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$51.13at 0.172Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$39.86at 0.170Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 12:05 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.8 | $9.72 |
| 10-14 08:50 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on October 15? | BUY | 0.8 | $9.60 |
| 10-14 06:01 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.7199999823 | $9.75 |
| 10-13 20:23 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.14 | $0.70 |
| 10-13 20:23 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.14 | $0.70 |
| 10-13 20:22 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.14 | $0.70 |
| 10-13 20:22 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.14 | $0.70 |
| 10-13 20:21 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.14 | $1.53 |
| 10-13 20:20 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.7199999913 | $9.88 |
| 10-13 20:00 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.8109999911 | $9.35 |
| 10-13 14:35 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.8 | $3.18 |
| 10-13 13:49 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.63 | $1.26 |
| 10-13 13:37 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.63 | $3.15 |
| 10-13 10:43 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.43 | $4.73 |
| 10-13 09:19 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 50-51°F on October 14? | BUY | 0.71 | $4.97 |