PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x1A5c6e7cA3A3455ec17061D6B0544b475c6E56df-1757467125183

0x1a5c6e7ca3a3455ec17061d6b0544b475c6e56df

Realised P&L
$-98.19
Volume
$19.4k
Markets traded
57
Open portfolio
$2.16

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded57
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration39.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample39 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)51.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.3600.365$1.01+$0.01
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 9, 2026? · Yes0.3700.360$0.97−$0.03
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 8, 2026? · Yes0.3400.060$0.18−$0.82
Will Israel strike Yemen on September 27 ET? · Yes0.0740.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Israel strike Yemen on September 26 ET? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET · Up0.0010.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-01? · Yes0.6900.000$0.00−$27.10
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30-35 million views on day 1? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$1.00
Will MrBeast's next video get between 45-50 million views on day 1? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-09-23? · Yes0.3700.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Israel not strike Yemen by 15 ET? · No0.0900.000$0.00−$1.00
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25-30 million views on day 1? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$6.00
Will Israel strike Yemen on September 28 ET? · Yes0.0380.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Israel strike Yemen on September 29 ET? · Yes0.0470.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET · Up0.1440.000$0.00−$4.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 07:03Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:00AM-3:05AM ETBUY0.001$1.00
10-08 06:41Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 9, 2026?BUY0.3699999593$1.00
10-06 18:52Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:50PM-2:55PM ETBUY0.9$1.00
10-06 06:49Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 8, 2026?BUY0.3399999388$1.00
10-06 06:48Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.3599999712$1.00
10-06 06:47Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ETSELL0.92$1.07
10-06 06:46Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ETBUY0.859999914$1.00
10-06 06:43Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:40AM-2:45AM ETBUY0.0699999965$1.00
10-06 06:42Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:40AM-2:45AM ETBUY0.1399999832$1.00
10-06 06:40Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:40AM-2:45AM ETBUY0.2899999884$1.00
10-06 06:40Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:40AM-2:45AM ETBUY0.3399999388$1.00
10-06 06:38Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:35AM-2:40AM ETSELL0.94$9.93
10-06 06:36Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:35AM-2:40AM ETBUY0.3099999473$1.00
10-06 06:35Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:35AM-2:40AM ETBUY0.559999776$1.00
10-06 06:35Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:35AM-2:40AM ETBUY0.5699999886$2.00