PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

olek

0x1a59b221d9c8bf5a8e0e4c3e12f4f12210cbf81e

Realised P&L
$-341.29
Volume
$13.2k
Markets traded
160
Open portfolio
$88.55

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded160
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration9.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration87.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0540.071$77.07+$18.88
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1710.059$8.03$15.07
Solana all time high by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1400.035$3.45$10.55
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? · Yes0.3900.000$0.00$1.00
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.3700.000$0.00$1.00
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.8100.000$0.00$1.30
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? · Yes0.6800.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-19 15:00Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0323009339$5.84
08-06 04:09Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?BUY0.05$18.67
08-06 03:53Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?BUY0.05$20.14
07-15 13:40Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?BUY0.05$2.04
07-14 06:51Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?BUY0.05$2.20
07-14 06:50Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.389$2.19
07-12 12:58Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?BUY0.05$2.00
07-12 11:00Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?BUY0.05$1.00
07-12 11:00Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.188$2.18
07-11 21:52Will England win on 2026-07-11?SELL0.495$0.95
07-11 15:15Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?BUY0.05$1.00
07-10 13:10Will England win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.5224999138$1.00
07-09 23:02Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?BUY0.05$1.10
07-09 23:00Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?BUY0.05$1.00
07-08 07:30Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?BUY0.059999946$1.00