olek
0x1a59b221d9c8bf5a8e0e4c3e12f4f12210cbf81e
- Realised P&L
- $-341.29
- Volume
- $13.2k
- Markets traded
- 160
- Open portfolio
- $88.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded160
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration87.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.054 | 0.071 | $77.07 | +$18.88 |
| Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.171 | 0.059 | $8.03 | −$15.07 |
| Solana all time high by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.035 | $3.45 | −$10.55 |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-25? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? · Yes | 0.810 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.30 |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$112.12at 0.158Solana all time high in Q4?
- +$11.84at 0.130Ethereum all time high before 2026?
- +$8.52at 0.540Spain vs. Germany - Who will advance?
- +$5.10at 0.490Will Ethereum hit $4,100.00 in December?
- +$4.40at 0.560Spain vs. France - Who will advance?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-19 15:00 | Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0323009339 | $5.84 |
| 08-06 04:09 | Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $18.67 |
| 08-06 03:53 | Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $20.14 |
| 07-15 13:40 | Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $2.04 |
| 07-14 06:51 | Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $2.20 |
| 07-14 06:50 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.389 | $2.19 |
| 07-12 12:58 | Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $2.00 |
| 07-12 11:00 | Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 07-12 11:00 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.188 | $2.18 |
| 07-11 21:52 | Will England win on 2026-07-11? | SELL | 0.495 | $0.95 |
| 07-11 15:15 | Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 07-10 13:10 | Will England win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.5224999138 | $1.00 |
| 07-09 23:02 | Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.10 |
| 07-09 23:00 | Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 07-08 07:30 | Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.059999946 | $1.00 |