PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

dvacation

0x1a4f110a2813daef17d72170f97b6dabb9d69b0c

Realised P&L
$-3.2k
Volume
$322.1k
Markets traded
390
Open portfolio
$33.97

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded390
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration9.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.6700.635$13.27−$0.73
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? · No0.5900.595$10.08+$0.08
Will Trump be impeached by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.6420.365$5.69−$4.31
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.0360.035$4.93−$0.07
Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 Winner · Zero Tenacity0.5390.000$0.00−$596.04
Dota 2: 1win vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner · Natus Vincere0.6470.000$0.00−$97.81
Dota 2: 1win vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage · 1win0.7800.000$0.00−$97.33
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs NRG (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs · MOUZ0.6400.000$0.00−$129.10
Dota 2: NS Club vs Stariy Bog Club - Game 1 Winner · NS Club0.2540.000$0.00−$253.15
Dota 2: 1win vs Team Nemesis - Game 1 Winner · Team Nemesis0.3440.000$0.00−$320.00
Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner · Conventus Stellarum0.4900.000$0.00−$10.00
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Nemiga - Map 1 Winner · FaZe0.8500.000$0.00−$140.48
Game Handicap: TY (-2.5) vs Natus Vincere (+2.5) · Natus Vincere0.6200.000$0.00−$830.61
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B · Legacy0.4540.000$0.00−$97.56
Counter-Strike: Teletubisie vs WRAITH PCIFIC - Map 2 Winner · Teletubisie0.3800.000$0.00−$97.23

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-03 11:32Counter-Strike: Legacy vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group StageBUY0.85$54.58
10-03 11:31Will Trump be impeached by June 30, 2027?BUY0.6416666447$10.00
10-03 11:29Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.036$5.00
10-03 11:27Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.6699999804$14.00
10-03 11:26US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?BUY0.5899999841$10.00
10-03 11:19Counter-Strike: Sinners vs NIP - Map 2 WinnerSELL0.999$94.02
10-03 10:52Counter-Strike: Sinners vs NIP - Map 2 WinnerBUY0.5299999974$49.88
10-03 09:44Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs TYLOO - Map 1 WinnerBUY0.6699999958$17.67
10-03 09:43Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)SELL0.999$17.81
10-03 08:50Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)BUY0.7288114727$13.00
10-02 17:37Dota 2: OG vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.2599999981$21.81
10-02 17:03Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Team Liquid - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.4126142055$100.00
10-02 17:03Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs BIG - Map 2 WinnerSELL0.999$125.52
10-02 16:50Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs BIG - Map 2 WinnerBUY0.789999999$99.27
10-02 16:34Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group ASELL0.999$1.5k