witch1
0x1a4de87569230868c8dd042dd62d66c7add702d3
- Realised P&L
- $-38.43
- Volume
- $11.5k
- Markets traded
- 188
- Open portfolio
- $243.89
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded188
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-18? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.375 | $112.50 | −$1.50 |
| Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-09-18? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.485 | $101.85 | −$1.05 |
| FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 5.5 · Under | 0.590 | 0.585 | $9.92 | −$0.08 |
| FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 7.5 · Under | 0.870 | 0.855 | $9.83 | −$0.17 |
| FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 6.5 · Under | 0.750 | 0.735 | $9.80 | −$0.20 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET · Down | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Biella: Mika Brunold vs Carlo Alberto Caniato · Mika Brunold | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET · Down | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$147.45at 0.502Augsburg: Benito Sanchez Martinez vs Facundo Mena
- +$89.62at 0.249Kingston 2: Rodrigo Pacheco vs Andres Andrade
- +$85.23at 0.592Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-28?
- +$80.71at 0.532Winston-Salem Open: Ignacio Buse vs Benjamin Bonzi
- +$71.39at 0.290ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Bucharest 3 (Romania), clay: Gabriel Ghetu vs Anas Mazdrashki
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 14:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET | BUY | 0.6632350003 | $10.00 |
| 09-18 14:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $10.00 |
| 09-18 14:19 | Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-09-18? | BUY | 0.49 | $102.90 |
| 09-18 14:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $10.00 |
| 09-18 13:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET | BUY | 0.539999986 | $10.00 |
| 09-18 13:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET | SELL | 0.04 | $0.91 |
| 09-18 13:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET | BUY | 0.4399999947 | $10.00 |
| 09-18 13:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET | SELL | 0.98 | $20.41 |
| 09-18 13:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET | SELL | 0.93 | $19.37 |
| 09-18 13:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET | BUY | 0.4799999962 | $20.00 |
| 09-18 13:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET | BUY | 0.52 | $20.00 |
| 09-18 13:20 | Biella: Mika Brunold vs Carlo Alberto Caniato | SELL | 0.91 | $78.44 |
| 09-18 13:03 | Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs | SELL | 0.999 | $15.85 |
| 09-18 12:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET | BUY | 0.5499999904 | $20.00 |
| 09-18 12:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET | BUY | 0.522852594 | $20.00 |