PolyBot

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Traders

0x1a4d86c7789854dbb78239ec83a0c6a2d482871e

0x1a4d86c7789854dbb78239ec83a0c6a2d482871e

Realised P&L
$2.60
Volume
$227.14
Markets traded
41
Open portfolio
$75.24

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded41
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration70.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on October 8? · No0.8900.968$8.27+$0.67
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on October 8? · Yes0.5170.940$7.77+$3.49
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 8? · Yes0.3901.000$5.87+$3.58
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 9? · Yes0.2900.310$5.39+$0.35
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on October 8? · No0.7700.595$5.22−$1.54
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 8? · No0.8501.000$5.10+$0.76
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on October 9? · Yes0.2650.290$4.61+$0.40
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 8? · Yes0.3001.000$3.53+$2.47
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 9? · Yes0.4130.460$2.37+$0.24
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 9? · Yes0.2900.305$2.23+$0.11
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on October 8? · Yes0.2740.555$2.13+$1.08
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on October 8? · No0.6301.000$1.71+$0.63
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on October 9? · Yes0.2870.463$1.69+$0.64
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 34°C on October 9? · Yes0.2000.315$1.65+$0.60
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on October 9? · Yes0.2200.160$1.53−$0.57

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 17:02Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 9?BUY0.3$1.05
10-08 17:00Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 10?BUY0.6099998296$1.11
10-08 17:00Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on October 10?BUY0.3$1.05
10-08 17:00Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on October 9?BUY0.5699999947$1.07
10-08 16:55Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 9?BUY0.2899999535$1.06
10-08 16:50Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 10?BUY0.5099998093$1.07
10-08 16:36Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 9?BUY0.2899999535$1.06
10-08 16:31Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 10?BUY0.24$1.05
10-08 15:56Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on October 10?BUY0.4399999834$1.06
10-08 09:06Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on October 9?BUY0.5799999712$1.21
10-08 09:04Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 34°C on October 9?BUY0.2$1.05
10-08 09:02Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 9?BUY0.5299999045$1.11
10-07 21:42Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on October 8?BUY0.629999895$1.08
10-07 21:11Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on October 8?BUY0.5099998093$1.07
10-07 21:05Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 8?BUY0.4899998809$1.07