0x1a4d86c7789854dbb78239ec83a0c6a2d482871e
0x1a4d86c7789854dbb78239ec83a0c6a2d482871e
- Realised P&L
- $2.60
- Volume
- $227.14
- Markets traded
- 41
- Open portfolio
- $75.24
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded41
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration70.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.98at 0.665Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on October 8?
- +$0.71at 0.753Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on October 7?
- +$0.34at 0.576Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 8?
- +$0.20at 0.424Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 8?
- +$-0.01at 0.505Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 8?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 17:02 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.3 | $1.05 |
| 10-08 17:00 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 10? | BUY | 0.6099998296 | $1.11 |
| 10-08 17:00 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.3 | $1.05 |
| 10-08 17:00 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.5699999947 | $1.07 |
| 10-08 16:55 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.2899999535 | $1.06 |
| 10-08 16:50 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 10? | BUY | 0.5099998093 | $1.07 |
| 10-08 16:36 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.2899999535 | $1.06 |
| 10-08 16:31 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.05 |
| 10-08 15:56 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.4399999834 | $1.06 |
| 10-08 09:06 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.5799999712 | $1.21 |
| 10-08 09:04 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 34°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.05 |
| 10-08 09:02 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.5299999045 | $1.11 |
| 10-07 21:42 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.629999895 | $1.08 |
| 10-07 21:11 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.5099998093 | $1.07 |
| 10-07 21:05 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 8? | BUY | 0.4899998809 | $1.07 |