bryce15
0x1a4cde65a4b31e3e30a0ce8b46d4d4c32eafff26
- Realised P&L
- $-1.95
- Volume
- $3.4k
- Markets traded
- 46
- Open portfolio
- $5.26
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded46
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample45 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)31.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.565 | $5.26 | +$3.12 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on September 17? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.36 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$29.24at 0.512Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 9?
- +$25.22at 0.440Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 11?
- +$22.32at 0.495Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 15?
- +$14.65at 0.502Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 11?
- +$12.41at 0.676Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 12:02 | Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.2299999957 | $2.14 |
| 09-16 12:00 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.2599999936 | $7.36 |
| 09-14 05:21 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.4827909232 | $21.35 |
| 09-09 21:17 | Ravens vs. Colts | BUY | 0.6199999797 | $4.27 |
| 09-09 21:16 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 11? | BUY | 0.4281874132 | $19.30 |
| 09-05 16:12 | Oklahoma State vs. Tulsa | BUY | 0.829999937 | $11.07 |
| 09-02 06:40 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on September 2? | BUY | 0.58 | $10.15 |
| 08-30 17:38 | Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in August 2026? | BUY | 0.5899999938 | $12.29 |
| 08-28 02:37 | Saints vs. Cowboys | BUY | 0.5799999852 | $13.31 |
| 08-26 01:05 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on August 27? | BUY | 0.64 | $26.95 |
| 08-23 22:11 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 25? | BUY | 0.8299999994 | $14.10 |
| 08-21 14:45 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 22? | BUY | 0.2899999245 | $1.96 |
| 08-19 13:52 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on August 20? | BUY | 0.7299999923 | $22.71 |
| 08-18 08:18 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on August 19? | BUY | 0.26 | $9.49 |
| 08-14 21:14 | Buccaneers vs. Jets | BUY | 0.2899998624 | $1.18 |