CryptoSupervisor
0x1a4400633e6fef53b1385b367c265966a75c6d3f
- Realised P&L
- $-485.01
- Volume
- $84.7k
- Markets traded
- 190
- Open portfolio
- $77.49
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded190
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$72.47at 0.406Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in February?
- +$19.32at 0.630SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026?
- +$12.76at 0.660Will Bill Gates be named in Epstein files?
- +$12.42at 0.860Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy before July?
- +$12.17at 0.313Will Grok remain the #1 model through March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 18:15 | Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of December 2026? | SELL | 0.25 | $24.29 |
| 10-30 00:55 | Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1520 by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.71 | $60.68 |
| 10-29 17:23 | Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher? | SELL | 0.84 | $25.59 |
| 10-29 11:55 | Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 60% or higher? | SELL | 0.0324355911 | $3.37 |
| 05-09 18:58 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $10.00 |
| 11-07 11:25 | Will Henri Bontenbal become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands? | SELL | 0.035 | $4.63 |
| 10-28 21:06 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1? | SELL | 0.607 | $14.50 |
| 10-28 10:43 | Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.72 | $51.12 |
| 10-28 09:59 | Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.72 | $53.28 |
| 10-27 18:39 | Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.75 | $4.50 |
| 10-27 16:49 | Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.79 | $45.80 |
| 10-25 16:07 | Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.77 | $45.21 |
| 10-22 18:19 | Will the Dallas Mavericks make the NBA Playoffs? | SELL | 0.52 | $16.25 |
| 10-20 23:44 | Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.71 | $108.63 |
| 10-20 18:25 | Will Henri Bontenbal become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands? | SELL | 0.62 | $8.55 |