PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

CryptoSupervisor

0x1a4400633e6fef53b1385b367c265966a75c6d3f

Realised P&L
$-485.01
Volume
$84.7k
Markets traded
190
Open portfolio
$77.49

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded190
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration56.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Next Israeli government formed by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.7500.695$43.40−$3.43
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa by November 30? · Yes0.4900.505$10.10+$0.30
Will the Democrats win New Jersey in the 2028 Presidential Election? · No0.3300.335$6.70+$0.10
Will the median home value in the US be between $403,000 and $407,000 on December 31? · No0.5600.400$5.33−$2.13
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Veracruz Congress election? · No0.2900.250$5.00−$0.80
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate at the November meeting? · No0.2400.175$2.33−$0.87
Will Toy Story 5 have the 3rd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? · No0.2700.115$2.29−$3.08
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate at the February meeting? · Yes0.4300.355$1.77−$0.38
Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 11, 2026? · Yes0.2710.329$0.56+$0.10
Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2025? · Yes0.3700.000$0.00−$7.51
Will Ukraine agree to give up Russian territory in Kursk? · Yes0.5500.000$0.00−$13.21
Will NASA estimate a 4% chance of asteroid hitting Earth? · Yes0.4150.000$0.00−$102.03
Will an FBI agent be charged for leaking ICE plans? · Yes0.6200.000$0.00−$44.16
Will the Orlando Magic win more than 51.5 regular season games in 2025–26? · Yes0.5500.000$0.00−$20.81
Kinetiq FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.7160.000$0.00−$96.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 18:15Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?SELL0.25$24.29
10-30 00:55Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1520 by June 30, 2027?SELL0.71$60.68
10-29 17:23Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?SELL0.84$25.59
10-29 11:55Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 60% or higher?SELL0.0324355911$3.37
05-09 18:58Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?BUY0.001$10.00
11-07 11:25Will Henri Bontenbal become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?SELL0.035$4.63
10-28 21:06Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?SELL0.607$14.50
10-28 10:43Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?SELL0.72$51.12
10-28 09:59Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?SELL0.72$53.28
10-27 18:39Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?SELL0.75$4.50
10-27 16:49Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch?SELL0.79$45.80
10-25 16:07Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?SELL0.77$45.21
10-22 18:19Will the Dallas Mavericks make the NBA Playoffs?SELL0.52$16.25
10-20 23:44Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?SELL0.71$108.63
10-20 18:25Will Henri Bontenbal become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?SELL0.62$8.55