ArchieHicox
0x1a40109e7f7c6964d9b7b9379f5bc7960302d239
- Realised P&L
- $109.67
- Volume
- $191.1k
- Markets traded
- 969
- Open portfolio
- $10.51
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded969
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration4.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.09at 0.990Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on July 24?
- +$9.09at 0.990Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 11?
- +$7.80at 0.953Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?
- +$7.75at 0.948Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on September 10?
- +$7.49at 0.949Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 8?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 18:00 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.96 | $5.00 |
| 09-26 18:00 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.9399999962 | $5.00 |
| 09-26 14:53 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.99 | $14.85 |
| 09-26 08:36 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.99 | $14.85 |
| 09-26 06:00 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.9699999981 | $5.00 |
| 09-25 22:10 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on September 25? | BUY | 0.96 | $4.20 |
| 09-25 19:11 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 25? | SELL | 0.23 | $1.18 |
| 09-25 19:00 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 25? | BUY | 0.9699998448 | $5.00 |
| 09-25 18:11 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.949999981 | $5.00 |
| 09-25 07:01 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.96 | $5.00 |
| 09-25 07:01 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.96 | $5.00 |
| 09-24 15:35 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.98 | $14.70 |
| 09-24 14:25 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.98 | $14.70 |
| 09-24 13:55 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.95 | $5.00 |
| 09-24 13:50 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.96 | $5.00 |