cubsfan333
0x1a382b80464f4a0ccb0b1882eb3cb4861dac8fb5
- Realised P&L
- $29.5k
- Volume
- $1.79M
- Markets traded
- 286
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded286
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.012 | 0.014 | $1.1k | +$124.32 |
| Seahawks vs. 49ers · 49ers | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.0k |
| Spread: Bengals (-3.5) · Buccaneers | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$350.00 |
| Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5 · Under | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$750.00 |
| Spread: Patriots (-7.5) · Giants | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.0k |
| Miami (OH) vs. Western Michigan · Miami (OH) | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.4k |
| Bears vs. 49ers · Bears | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1000.00 |
| Spread: Dolphins (-2.5) · Jets | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.9k |
| Spread: Bears (-7.5) · Browns | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.5k |
| Spread: Oregon (-21.5) · Oregon | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1000.00 |
| Oregon vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders · Texas Tech Red Raiders | 0.327 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$250.10 |
| Spread: Texans (-2.5) · Texans | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1000.00 |
| Spread: Eagles (-4.5) · Eagles | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.5k |
| Ravens vs. Bengals · Bengals | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1000.00 |
| Chiefs vs. Cowboys · Chiefs | 0.630 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.1k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.3kat 0.443Texas A&M vs. Texas
- +$20.1kat 0.453Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$18.7kat 0.410Packers vs. Lions
- +$12.8kat 0.536Spread: Ohio State (-4.5)
- +$11.3kat 0.570Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 19:20 | Georgia vs. Alabama | BUY | 0.46 | $1.4k |
| 10-10 19:19 | Spread: Alabama (-2.5) | BUY | 0.49 | $49.00 |
| 10-10 19:16 | Spread: Ole Miss (-9.5) | BUY | 0.5099999999 | $500.00 |
| 10-10 19:15 | Spread: Oregon (-10.5) | BUY | 0.5175714509 | $500.00 |
| 10-09 00:14 | Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox | BUY | 0.5099999999 | $500.00 |
| 10-09 00:13 | Buccaneers vs. Cowboys: O/U 48.5 | BUY | 0.49 | $300.00 |
| 10-09 00:12 | Spread: Cowboys (-9.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $1.5k |
| 10-05 22:11 | Falcons vs. Saints: O/U 47.5 | BUY | 0.5099999999 | $500.00 |
| 10-05 22:10 | Spread: Saints (-1.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $1.0k |
| 10-05 22:10 | Falcons vs. Saints | BUY | 0.53 | $1.0k |
| 10-04 23:53 | Spread: Lions (-4.5) | BUY | 0.51 | $2.0k |
| 10-04 19:54 | Spread: Seahawks (-7.5) | BUY | 0.5499999999 | $700.00 |
| 10-04 19:53 | Spread: Chiefs (-4.5) | BUY | 0.4799999998 | $1000.00 |
| 10-04 19:52 | Broncos vs. 49ers | BUY | 0.5999999999 | $1.0k |
| 10-04 16:31 | Spread: Ravens (-10.5) | BUY | 0.5199999998 | $500.00 |