cubsfan333
0x1a382b80464f4a0ccb0b1882eb3cb4861dac8fb5
- Realised P&L
- $18.2k
- Volume
- $1.73M
- Markets traded
- 250
- Open portfolio
- $940.32
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded250
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.012 | 0.013 | $940.32 | +$11.49 |
| Seahawks vs. 49ers · 49ers | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.0k |
| Spread: Bengals (-3.5) · Buccaneers | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$350.00 |
| Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5 · Under | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$750.00 |
| Spread: Patriots (-7.5) · Giants | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.0k |
| Miami (OH) vs. Western Michigan · Miami (OH) | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.4k |
| Bears vs. 49ers · Bears | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1000.00 |
| Spread: Dolphins (-2.5) · Jets | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.9k |
| Spread: Bears (-7.5) · Browns | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.5k |
| Spread: Oregon (-21.5) · Oregon | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1000.00 |
| Oregon vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders · Texas Tech Red Raiders | 0.327 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$250.10 |
| Spread: Eagles (-4.5) · Eagles | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.5k |
| Ravens vs. Bengals · Bengals | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1000.00 |
| Chiefs vs. Cowboys · Chiefs | 0.630 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.1k |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.1k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.3kat 0.443Texas A&M vs. Texas
- +$20.1kat 0.453Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$18.7kat 0.410Packers vs. Lions
- +$12.8kat 0.536Spread: Ohio State (-4.5)
- +$11.3kat 0.570Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 22:32 | Spread: Bills (-5.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $750.00 |
| 09-17 07:42 | Spread: Bills (-5.5) | BUY | 0.51 | $2.5k |
| 09-17 07:38 | Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0129984391 | $298.03 |
| 09-17 07:37 | Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.011 | $4.37 |
| 09-15 01:46 | Spread: Chiefs (-1.5) | BUY | 0.27 | $405.00 |
| 09-15 00:00 | Spread: Chiefs (-1.5) | BUY | 0.51 | $255.00 |
| 09-14 23:59 | Spread: Chiefs (-1.5) | BUY | 0.51 | $1.0k |
| 09-13 20:12 | Spread: Cowboys (-3.5) | BUY | 0.55 | $2.9k |
| 09-13 20:11 | Spread: LAC (-9.5) | BUY | 0.52 | $780.00 |
| 09-13 20:08 | Spread: Vikings (-2.5) | BUY | 0.51 | $1.0k |
| 09-13 20:04 | Spread: Eagles (-6.5) | BUY | 0.54 | $539.99 |
| 09-13 16:55 | Bills vs. Texans | BUY | 0.49 | $490.00 |
| 09-13 16:52 | Spread: Bears (-3.5) | BUY | 0.56 | $840.00 |
| 09-13 12:20 | Bears vs. Panthers | BUY | 0.4 | $200.00 |
| 09-13 12:18 | Bills vs. Texans | BUY | 0.48 | $240.00 |