drunkshark123
0x1a36cc8feb64c8c7b790b77e20b250c2eac7f270
- Realised P&L
- $134.91
- Volume
- $40.0k
- Markets traded
- 1,191
- Open portfolio
- $35.09
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,191
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration10.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$93.92at 0.073Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on May 25?
- +$39.09at 0.121Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 3?
- +$27.47at 0.348Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
- +$22.43at 0.104Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on May 25?
- +$21.03at 0.208Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 02:12 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.59 | $11.80 |
| 10-19 03:00 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.34 | $6.80 |
| 10-18 04:29 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.098 | $1.08 |
| 10-18 04:23 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 18? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 10-18 03:59 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.61 | $6.10 |
| 10-18 03:40 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 18? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.05 |
| 10-17 07:07 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 17? | SELL | 0.821 | $4.10 |
| 10-17 02:48 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 17? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.02 |
| 10-17 02:28 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 17? | BUY | 0.47 | $9.40 |
| 10-17 02:21 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.59 | $11.80 |
| 10-17 01:53 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 17? | BUY | 0.12 | $1.32 |
| 10-16 17:14 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 16? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.02 |
| 10-16 06:54 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 16? | SELL | 0.0017719454 | $0.48 |
| 10-16 06:30 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 16? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 01:09 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 16? | BUY | 0.41 | $4.48 |