PolyBot

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Traders

drunkshark123

0x1a36cc8feb64c8c7b790b77e20b250c2eac7f270

Realised P&L
$134.91
Volume
$40.0k
Markets traded
1,191
Open portfolio
$35.09

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,191
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration10.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 20? · Yes0.5820.610$15.25+$0.70
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 20? · Yes0.2800.270$10.80−$0.40
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 21? · Yes0.3200.365$7.30+$0.90
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 21? · Yes0.0300.085$1.70+$1.10
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 18? · Yes0.3010.001$0.02−$10.53
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 20? · Yes0.0030.001$0.01−$0.07
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 16? · No0.0020.001$0.01−$0.01
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 17? · No0.0400.001$0.00−$0.20
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on June 18? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00−$0.24
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 12? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00−$0.65
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 19? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00−$0.65
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 17? · Yes0.0530.000$0.00−$1.60
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on September 4? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 8? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00−$2.00
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on July 20? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00−$0.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-20 02:12Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 20?BUY0.59$11.80
10-19 03:00Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 20?BUY0.34$6.80
10-18 04:29Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 18?BUY0.098$1.08
10-18 04:23Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 18?SELL0.001$0.01
10-18 03:59Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 18?BUY0.61$6.10
10-18 03:40Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 18?SELL0.001$0.05
10-17 07:07Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 17?SELL0.821$4.10
10-17 02:48Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 17?SELL0.001$0.02
10-17 02:28Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 17?BUY0.47$9.40
10-17 02:21Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 18?BUY0.59$11.80
10-17 01:53Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 17?BUY0.12$1.32
10-16 17:14Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 16?SELL0.001$0.02
10-16 06:54Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 16?SELL0.0017719454$0.48
10-16 06:30Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 16?BUY0.004$1.00
10-16 01:09Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 16?BUY0.41$4.48