30honor
0x1a367181fa7eb56f9790eda44a32a34a577d5915
- Realised P&L
- $72.24
- Volume
- $25.5k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $342.69
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)3.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.420 | $342.69 | −$16.32 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$304.08at 0.612Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-09-11?
- +$0.00at 0.500Will Antonio Villaraigosa win the California Governor Election in 2026?
- +$0.00at 0.500Will Antonio Villaraigosa win the California Governor Election in 2026?
- +$-0.03at 0.999Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027?
- +$-0.03at 0.995Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 15:10 | Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | SELL | 0.41 | $12.93 |
| 09-17 15:07 | Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | SELL | 0.42 | $10.50 |
| 09-17 14:15 | Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.44 | $383.88 |
| 09-14 12:36 | Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-09-08? | SELL | 0.48 | $19.48 |
| 09-14 12:02 | Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-09-08? | BUY | 0.49 | $230.16 |
| 09-11 06:43 | Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-09-11? | SELL | 0.59 | $24.44 |
| 09-11 06:04 | Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-09-11? | BUY | 0.6 | $497.27 |
| 06-25 04:36 | Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.995 | $56.27 |
| 06-25 04:31 | Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.993 | $32.06 |
| 06-25 04:24 | Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $36.03 |
| 06-25 04:16 | Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.9939999997 | $14.70 |
| 06-25 04:06 | Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $20.30 |
| 06-25 04:00 | Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027? | SELL | 0.998 | $14.07 |
| 06-25 03:51 | Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027? | SELL | 0.998 | $13.09 |
| 06-25 03:43 | Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.994 | $17.40 |