zedvic
0x1a3640f3c093b9cade87db3ef4edede78ebaa4e2
- Realised P&L
- $-547.99
- Volume
- $11.4k
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $100.51
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration64.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration94.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.064 | 0.009 | $94.58 | −$580.39 |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.075 | $3.52 | −$11.48 |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.070 | $2.41 | −$7.59 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by March 31? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.49 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$83.12at 0.440Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?
- +$13.30at 0.460US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
- +$8.53at 0.642Hezbollah strike on Israel by December 31?
- +$6.67at 0.600US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
- +$6.67at 0.750Will no US x Venezuela military engagement occur in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-20 21:33 | Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0379999985 | $23.49 |
| 04-22 22:24 | Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.056999991 | $5.68 |
| 04-22 22:24 | Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0568769462 | $100.00 |
| 04-09 20:25 | Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0597004808 | $2.99 |
| 04-08 09:18 | Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0667145686 | $93.48 |
| 04-08 08:37 | Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.06314332 | $50.00 |
| 04-08 08:37 | Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.06 | $4.95 |
| 04-07 17:57 | Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today? | BUY | 0.4399999968 | $65.31 |
| 04-07 17:55 | Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0594621541 | $50.00 |
| 03-26 08:54 | Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0552977304 | $9.99 |
| 03-11 11:38 | Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? | SELL | 0.54 | $10.00 |
| 03-10 15:03 | Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.065 | $2.57 |
| 03-10 14:51 | Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.064 | $3.84 |
| 01-13 20:32 | Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize? | BUY | 0.2799999849 | $10.38 |
| 01-13 15:26 | Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | SELL | 0.27 | $10.38 |