0x1A32b76635b14fCDfABc658D6Fae660dcfc66304-1770366208461
0x1a32b76635b14fcdfabc658d6fae660dcfc66304
- Realised P&L
- $-508.79
- Volume
- $1.9k
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $8.99
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-26.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration93.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)83.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 September 21-27? · No | 0.992 | 0.993 | $8.99 | +$0.00 |
| 76ers vs. Kings · Kings | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$510.40 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.80at 0.480Rockets vs. Timberwolves
- +$0.03at 0.997Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 30?
- +$0.03at 0.997Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on July 22?
- +$0.02at 0.998Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 16?
- +$0.01at 0.997Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 03:48 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.992 | $8.99 |
| 08-03 09:37 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $7.24 |
| 07-22 01:52 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on July 22? | BUY | 0.9969999998 | $8.93 |
| 07-13 06:40 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.58 |
| 06-13 05:54 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 16? | BUY | 0.998 | $8.64 |
| 05-28 06:57 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.9969999996 | $5.24 |
| 04-30 05:57 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 30? | BUY | 0.997 | $8.99 |
| 04-14 05:36 | Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.96 |
| 04-02 03:16 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.25 |
| 03-25 07:24 | Rockets vs. Timberwolves | BUY | 0.4799998959 | $1.66 |
| 03-20 05:57 | Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.997 | $151.92 |
| 03-20 03:52 | Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.998 | $152.08 |
| 03-19 07:22 | 76ers vs. Kings | BUY | 0.4199999996 | $510.40 |
| 03-19 06:13 | Will the price of Solana be above $100 on March 19? | BUY | 0.998 | $6.64 |
| 03-19 06:05 | Will Aaron Rai win the 2026 Masters tournament? | SELL | 0.996 | $159.10 |