PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

fjf199304

0x1a2ddcb7efebf21cf91cd4963017899535a7f1b2

Realised P&L
$-0.34
Volume
$769.56
Markets traded
575
Open portfolio
$236.30

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded575
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration2.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on September 28? · Yes0.9301.000$1.30+$0.09
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 28? · Yes0.9401.000$1.29+$0.08
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on September 28? · Yes0.9501.000$1.27+$0.06
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 28? · Yes0.9500.995$1.27+$0.06
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 28? · No0.9701.000$1.25+$0.04
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on September 28? · No0.9701.000$1.25+$0.04
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 28? · No0.9701.000$1.25+$0.04
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 28? · No0.9701.000$1.25+$0.04
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 28? · No0.9701.000$1.25+$0.04
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 28? · No0.9701.000$1.25+$0.04
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on September 28? · No0.9701.000$1.25+$0.04
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 28°C on September 28? · No0.9701.000$1.25+$0.04
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 28? · No0.9701.000$1.25+$0.04
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on September 28? · No0.9701.000$1.25+$0.04
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on September 28? · No0.9700.997$1.24+$0.03

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 12:01Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on September 30?BUY0.999$1.20
09-28 12:01Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C or higher on September 30?BUY0.998$1.20
09-28 12:01Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 30?BUY0.97$1.20
09-28 12:01Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on September 30?BUY0.98$1.20
09-28 12:01Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 30?BUY0.99$1.20
09-28 12:01Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 30?BUY0.997999842$1.20
09-28 12:01Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 30?BUY0.97$1.20
09-28 12:01Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C or below on September 30?BUY0.999$1.20
09-28 12:01Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on September 30?BUY0.999$1.20
09-28 12:01Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 37°C or higher on September 29?BUY0.999$1.20
09-28 12:01Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C or higher on September 29?BUY0.999$1.20
09-28 12:00Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on September 29?BUY0.996$1.20
09-28 12:00Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on September 29?BUY0.996$1.20
09-28 12:00Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 36°C on September 29?BUY0.999$1.20
09-28 12:00Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on September 29?BUY0.995$1.20