PolyBot

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Traders

0x1a2d6c8920edcd7984e4292def3434d639b8f2f0

Realised P&L
$6.78
Volume
$96.34
Markets traded
28
Open portfolio
$10.25

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar7.0%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded28
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration39.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample24 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration42.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? · Yes0.2601.000$4.31+$3.19
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · No0.5600.870$2.66+$0.95
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · No0.7800.915$1.85+$0.27
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $97.50 Week of August 3 2026? · No0.6500.465$1.43$0.57

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 06:06SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 4?BUY0.75$2.00
08-03 22:05Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $97.50 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.6499999025$2.00
08-02 14:01Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July?BUY0.7299999087$2.00
08-02 04:17Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.229999916$2.00
08-01 20:17Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.75$2.00
08-01 12:16Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?BUY0.2599998468$1.12
08-01 03:09Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?BUY0.619999895$1.89
07-31 19:07New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?BUY0.5$1.53
07-31 11:06New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?BUY0.5$1.53
07-30 05:10Will Trump say "Data Center" during cabinet meeting?BUY0.4$1.30
07-29 13:42Another pandemic before GTA VI?BUY0.5$1.53
07-27 23:13Will Ares Capital (ARCC) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.6099999377$1.86
07-27 15:00Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" 10+ times during Michigan remarks?BUY0.45$1.53
07-27 02:16Will Trump say "Save America Act" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?BUY0.39$1.17
07-26 14:16Will Trump say "Hell" 7+ times during Michigan remarks?BUY0.7$1.42