PolyBot

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Traders

0x1a2d6c8920edcd7984e4292def3434d639b8f2f0

0x1a2d6c8920edcd7984e4292def3434d639b8f2f0

Realised P&L
$-3.27
Volume
$226.04
Markets traded
62
Open portfolio
$6.87

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded62
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? · Yes0.2770.515$1.86+$0.86
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026? · No0.7500.994$1.32+$0.32
Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 68% to 69%? · Yes0.2300.225$0.98−$0.02
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in September? · No0.6000.560$0.93−$0.07
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? · No0.7400.670$0.91−$0.09
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? · No0.7000.605$0.86−$0.14

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-09 20:18Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 68% to 69%?BUY0.2299999517$1.00
10-09 12:17Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in September?BUY0.59999988$1.00
10-09 04:15Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?BUY0.2769999465$1.00
10-08 20:15Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?BUY0.7399996448$1.00
10-08 12:15SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 8?BUY0.8199999836$1.00
10-08 04:13Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?BUY0.6099998597$1.00
10-07 20:02Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?BUY0.7$1.00
10-07 08:02Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?BUY0.749999625$1.00
10-07 00:02Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?BUY0.219999978$1.00
10-02 12:18Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?BUY0.3699999593$1.00
09-30 15:52Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?BUY0.5899997404$1.00
09-24 14:38Will Elon tweet 800-839 times in September 2026?BUY0.7899998657$1.00
09-01 21:32Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August?BUY0.3599999208$2.00
08-23 19:31Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?BUY0.6909998946$2.00
08-23 09:06Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in August 2026?BUY0.8$2.00