PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

mamont999

0x1a2d5f1b639c487ba615732f68d78599316ce3d6

Realised P&L
$-3.9k
Volume
$128.9k
Markets traded
103
Open portfolio
$4.2k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded103
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration72.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration47.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Gen.G Make the Worlds 2026 Grand Final? · Yes0.7670.740$2.0k−$74.39
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026? · Yes0.7570.745$1.3k−$20.50
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? · No0.6600.870$301.27+$72.72
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? · No0.6670.750$300.00+$33.33
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026? · No0.0490.229$264.21+$207.38
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026? · No0.0410.022$47.26−$38.53
1win FDV above $70M one day after launch? · Yes0.0650.001$15.66−$2.0k
Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026? · No0.0190.001$3.95−$148.88
1win FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.2120.001$2.36−$999.70

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 21:151win FDV above $70M one day after launch?BUY0.016$3.20
11-01 21:13Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?SELL0.75$37.50
11-01 21:121win FDV above $70M one day after launch?BUY0.019$3.80
11-01 21:11Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?SELL0.35$0.33
11-01 21:091win FDV above $70M one day after launch?BUY0.019$47.50
11-01 21:081win FDV above $70M one day after launch?BUY0.018$2.63
11-01 21:061win FDV above $70M one day after launch?BUY0.0261944$26.19
11-01 19:49Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?SELL0.64$354.87
11-01 19:36Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?SELL0.74$37.00
11-01 19:36Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?SELL0.7$70.00
11-01 19:36Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?SELL0.78$77.98
11-01 18:50Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?BUY0.74$37.00
11-01 18:49Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.71$71.00
11-01 13:211win FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.12$6.00
11-01 10:50Will Gen.G Make the Worlds 2026 Grand Final?BUY0.79$0.77