mamont999
0x1a2d5f1b639c487ba615732f68d78599316ce3d6
- Realised P&L
- $-3.9k
- Volume
- $128.9k
- Markets traded
- 103
- Open portfolio
- $4.2k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded103
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration72.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gen.G Make the Worlds 2026 Grand Final? · Yes | 0.767 | 0.740 | $2.0k | −$74.39 |
| Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026? · Yes | 0.757 | 0.745 | $1.3k | −$20.50 |
| Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? · No | 0.660 | 0.870 | $301.27 | +$72.72 |
| Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? · No | 0.667 | 0.750 | $300.00 | +$33.33 |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026? · No | 0.049 | 0.229 | $264.21 | +$207.38 |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026? · No | 0.041 | 0.022 | $47.26 | −$38.53 |
| 1win FDV above $70M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.065 | 0.001 | $15.66 | −$2.0k |
| Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026? · No | 0.019 | 0.001 | $3.95 | −$148.88 |
| 1win FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.212 | 0.001 | $2.36 | −$999.70 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.9kat 0.241Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?
- +$581.32at 0.456Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?
- +$426.99at 0.620Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?
- +$263.50at 0.591Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?
- +$227.47at 0.544LoL: MVK Esports vs FURIA Esports - Game 3 Winner
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 21:15 | 1win FDV above $70M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.016 | $3.20 |
| 11-01 21:13 | Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.75 | $37.50 |
| 11-01 21:12 | 1win FDV above $70M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.019 | $3.80 |
| 11-01 21:11 | Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.35 | $0.33 |
| 11-01 21:09 | 1win FDV above $70M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.019 | $47.50 |
| 11-01 21:08 | 1win FDV above $70M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.018 | $2.63 |
| 11-01 21:06 | 1win FDV above $70M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.0261944 | $26.19 |
| 11-01 19:49 | Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.64 | $354.87 |
| 11-01 19:36 | Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.74 | $37.00 |
| 11-01 19:36 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.7 | $70.00 |
| 11-01 19:36 | Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.78 | $77.98 |
| 11-01 18:50 | Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $37.00 |
| 11-01 18:49 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.71 | $71.00 |
| 11-01 13:21 | 1win FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.12 | $6.00 |
| 11-01 10:50 | Will Gen.G Make the Worlds 2026 Grand Final? | BUY | 0.79 | $0.77 |