PolyBot

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Traders

0x1a290b339f9d79622659cec4d2befe01fd28ec55

Realised P&L
$-6.46
Volume
$87.78
Markets traded
23
Open portfolio
$12.77

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-7.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded23
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · No0.7701.000$2.60+$0.60
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,100 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes0.8001.000$2.50+$0.50
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? · No0.7900.795$2.01+$0.01
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? · No0.7300.730$2.00+$0.00
Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%? · No0.5800.645$1.97+$0.20
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? · No0.2300.105$0.91$1.09
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No0.4000.155$0.78$1.23
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · No0.4200.000$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 16:31Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?BUY0.7899999289$2.00
08-04 08:30Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.4199999454$2.00
08-04 00:30Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?BUY0.229999916$2.00
08-03 16:30US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?BUY0.7299999087$2.00
08-03 08:29US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.4$2.00
08-02 23:28Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,100 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.8$2.00
08-01 13:45Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.77$2.00
08-01 01:43Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?BUY0.5$1.53
07-31 17:38Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?BUY0.5799998886$1.77
07-31 09:37Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?BUY0.42$1.26
07-29 11:10Will Warsh say "Good day" during July Press Conference?BUY0.35$1.05
07-28 21:26New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?BUY0.5$1.91
07-28 06:55New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?BUY0.5099999268$1.95
07-27 19:33Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?BUY0.5099999268$1.95
07-27 01:49Will Sonos (SONO) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.5939999474$2.01