PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

HotWeatherGirl

0x1a11c4e9d41451111650457598a63e480f50e55d

Realised P&L
$28.17
Volume
$114.5k
Markets traded
1,187
Open portfolio
$0.06

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,187
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration17.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration82.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on October 9? · No0.0310.001$0.05−$3.05
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on October 9? · No0.7900.001$0.01−$9.47
Will the lowest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on October 9? · No0.7750.001$0.01−$7.75
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 88°F or higher on October 6? · Yes0.0220.000$0.00−$0.22
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on July 2? · Yes0.1530.000$0.00−$1.90
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 13? · Yes0.3610.000$0.00−$3.60
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on October 3? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00−$0.45
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on October 5? · No0.0210.000$0.00−$1.55
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on June 22? · Yes0.3300.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on September 9? · No0.0700.000$0.00−$19.95
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on September 27? · Yes0.0880.000$0.00−$5.98
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on July 5? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00−$2.61
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on September 12? · No0.2900.000$0.00−$2.02
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on September 26? · Yes0.1650.000$0.00−$4.13
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on July 1? · Yes0.3200.000$0.00−$1.75

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-10 07:57Will the lowest temperature in Atlanta be between 60-61°F on October 10?SELL0.999$9.75
10-10 07:27Will the lowest temperature in Seattle be 43°F or below on October 9?SELL0.999$9.79
10-10 04:19Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 10?SELL0.999$30.00
10-10 04:15Will the lowest temperature in Jeddah be 31°C on October 10?SELL0.999$92.55
10-10 02:08Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C or below on October 10?SELL0.999$42.93
10-10 01:36Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C or below on October 10?BUY0.9619999212$10.67
10-10 01:35Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C or below on October 10?BUY0.9430820955$30.07
10-10 01:07Will the lowest temperature in Jeddah be 31°C on October 10?BUY0.966$9.66
10-10 01:02Will the lowest temperature in Jeddah be 31°C on October 10?BUY0.96$30.07
10-10 01:02Will the lowest temperature in Jeddah be 31°C on October 10?BUY0.96$30.07
10-10 00:35Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 10?SELL0.9943948333$59.66
10-10 00:33Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on October 9?SELL0.999$4.15
10-10 00:24Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 24°C on October 10?SELL0.999$60.06
10-10 00:06Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 10?BUY0.9689999995$29.10
10-10 00:05Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 24°C on October 10?BUY0.9679999992$29.10