HotWeatherGirl
0x1a11c4e9d41451111650457598a63e480f50e55d
- Realised P&L
- $28.17
- Volume
- $114.5k
- Markets traded
- 1,187
- Open portfolio
- $0.06
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,187
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration17.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration82.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$433.40at 0.018Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on September 22?
- +$268.04at 0.203Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on September 10?
- +$103.59at 0.103Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on October 4?
- +$95.99at 0.040Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on September 26?
- +$89.87at 0.308Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 07:57 | Will the lowest temperature in Atlanta be between 60-61°F on October 10? | SELL | 0.999 | $9.75 |
| 10-10 07:27 | Will the lowest temperature in Seattle be 43°F or below on October 9? | SELL | 0.999 | $9.79 |
| 10-10 04:19 | Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 10? | SELL | 0.999 | $30.00 |
| 10-10 04:15 | Will the lowest temperature in Jeddah be 31°C on October 10? | SELL | 0.999 | $92.55 |
| 10-10 02:08 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C or below on October 10? | SELL | 0.999 | $42.93 |
| 10-10 01:36 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C or below on October 10? | BUY | 0.9619999212 | $10.67 |
| 10-10 01:35 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C or below on October 10? | BUY | 0.9430820955 | $30.07 |
| 10-10 01:07 | Will the lowest temperature in Jeddah be 31°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.966 | $9.66 |
| 10-10 01:02 | Will the lowest temperature in Jeddah be 31°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.96 | $30.07 |
| 10-10 01:02 | Will the lowest temperature in Jeddah be 31°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.96 | $30.07 |
| 10-10 00:35 | Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 10? | SELL | 0.9943948333 | $59.66 |
| 10-10 00:33 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on October 9? | SELL | 0.999 | $4.15 |
| 10-10 00:24 | Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 24°C on October 10? | SELL | 0.999 | $60.06 |
| 10-10 00:06 | Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.9689999995 | $29.10 |
| 10-10 00:05 | Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 24°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.9679999992 | $29.10 |