PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

trader-19fc206e

0x19fc206eebb5e0b5b23a22297846b935d13c1a12

Realised P&L
$660.66
Volume
$76.9k
Markets traded
3,380
Open portfolio
$10.43

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,380
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration7.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration75.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31? · No0.2860.685$7.90+$4.60
Will Stefan Evers be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? · Yes0.2800.315$1.57+$0.17
Will Honor of Kings Win the 2026 Esports Mobile Game of the Year Award? · Yes0.1270.071$0.47$0.37
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States? · Yes0.0270.032$0.41+$0.06
Will Clix Win the 2026 Esports Personality of the Year Award? · Yes0.1500.007$0.05$0.95
Will Shotzzy Win the 2026 Esports Personality of the Year Award? · Yes0.1200.003$0.02$0.90

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 06:28Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 2AM ETBUY0.4$2.00
09-17 06:27Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 2AM ETBUY0.43$2.15
09-17 05:25Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 1AM ETBUY0.61$3.05
09-16 17:50Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ETBUY0.52$2.60
09-16 17:45Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 1:45PM-1:50PM ETBUY0.78$3.90
09-16 08:49Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ETBUY0.5$2.50
09-16 08:49Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ETBUY0.42$2.10
09-16 07:31Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3:30AM-3:35AM ETBUY0.48$2.40
09-16 07:31Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3:30AM-3:35AM ETBUY0.48$2.40
09-16 07:31Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3:30AM-3:35AM ETSELL0.47$2.35
09-16 07:30Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3:30AM-3:35AM ETBUY0.52$2.60
09-16 07:29Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3:30AM-3:35AM ETBUY0.5$2.50
09-16 07:24Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3:25AM-3:30AM ETBUY0.6328$3.16
09-16 07:24Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3:25AM-3:30AM ETBUY0.63$4.85
09-16 07:13Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ETBUY0.51$2.55