trader-19fc206e
0x19fc206eebb5e0b5b23a22297846b935d13c1a12
- Realised P&L
- $660.66
- Volume
- $76.9k
- Markets traded
- 3,380
- Open portfolio
- $10.43
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,380
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration7.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration75.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31? · No | 0.286 | 0.685 | $7.90 | +$4.60 |
| Will Stefan Evers be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.315 | $1.57 | +$0.17 |
| Will Honor of Kings Win the 2026 Esports Mobile Game of the Year Award? · Yes | 0.127 | 0.071 | $0.47 | −$0.37 |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States? · Yes | 0.027 | 0.032 | $0.41 | +$0.06 |
| Will Clix Win the 2026 Esports Personality of the Year Award? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.007 | $0.05 | −$0.95 |
| Will Shotzzy Win the 2026 Esports Personality of the Year Award? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.003 | $0.02 | −$0.90 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$403.46at 0.016Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET
- +$55.00at 0.214Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 22?
- +$51.79at 0.269Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
- +$48.10at 0.171Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
- +$46.37at 0.304Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 06:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 2AM ET | BUY | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 06:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 2AM ET | BUY | 0.43 | $2.15 |
| 09-17 05:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 1AM ET | BUY | 0.61 | $3.05 |
| 09-16 17:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET | BUY | 0.52 | $2.60 |
| 09-16 17:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET | BUY | 0.78 | $3.90 |
| 09-16 08:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $2.50 |
| 09-16 08:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET | BUY | 0.42 | $2.10 |
| 09-16 07:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET | BUY | 0.48 | $2.40 |
| 09-16 07:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET | BUY | 0.48 | $2.40 |
| 09-16 07:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET | SELL | 0.47 | $2.35 |
| 09-16 07:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET | BUY | 0.52 | $2.60 |
| 09-16 07:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $2.50 |
| 09-16 07:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET | BUY | 0.6328 | $3.16 |
| 09-16 07:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET | BUY | 0.63 | $4.85 |
| 09-16 07:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $2.55 |