PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

cfgs478

0x19fc0b4a653f3bee506533ef6ecb52136dc1a7b2

Realised P&L
$239.13
Volume
$32.2k
Markets traded
40
Open portfolio
$40.48

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded40
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration98.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample37 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)67.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Multipli.fi FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No0.9000.926$19.46+$0.56
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? · No0.9480.975$15.59+$0.42
Multipli.fi FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.8100.906$5.44+$0.58

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
02-24 01:16Will the price of Solana be above $130 on February 27?BUY0.9979997639$3.77
02-24 01:16Will the price of Solana be above $120 on February 27?BUY0.999$3.00
02-24 01:16Will the price of Solana be above $130 on February 26?BUY0.9989997813$3.28
02-24 01:16Will the price of Solana be above $120 on February 26?BUY0.997$3.00
02-24 01:15Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?BUY0.997$3.66
02-24 01:15Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?BUY0.9949999011$3.37
02-24 01:15Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?BUY0.984999757$3.00
02-24 01:14Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?SELL0.952$15.23
02-24 01:14Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in February?SELL0.997$9.97
09-29 11:22Will the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl 2026?BUY0.992$40.83
08-31 12:59Will Ethereum reach $5000 in August?BUY0.999$40.79
07-17 10:01Will Ethereum reach $4000 in July?SELL0.72$40.63
03-29 13:49Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2025 NBA Finals?BUY0.992$32.16
03-29 13:48Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?SELL0.76$3.25
02-13 01:52Will Juventus win the UEFA Champions League?BUY0.9869999629$21.54