cfgs478
0x19fc0b4a653f3bee506533ef6ecb52136dc1a7b2
- Realised P&L
- $239.13
- Volume
- $32.2k
- Markets traded
- 40
- Open portfolio
- $40.48
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded40
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration98.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample37 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)67.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Multipli.fi FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No | 0.900 | 0.926 | $19.46 | +$0.56 |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? · No | 0.948 | 0.975 | $15.59 | +$0.42 |
| Multipli.fi FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No | 0.810 | 0.906 | $5.44 | +$0.58 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$250.75at 0.530Eagles vs. Packers
- +$0.44at 0.992Will Solana reach $300 in May?
- +$0.43at 0.981Will Borussia Dortmund win the UEFA Champions League?
- +$0.33at 0.992Will the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl 2026?
- +$0.28at 0.987Will Juventus win the UEFA Champions League?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-24 01:16 | Will the price of Solana be above $130 on February 27? | BUY | 0.9979997639 | $3.77 |
| 02-24 01:16 | Will the price of Solana be above $120 on February 27? | BUY | 0.999 | $3.00 |
| 02-24 01:16 | Will the price of Solana be above $130 on February 26? | BUY | 0.9989997813 | $3.28 |
| 02-24 01:16 | Will the price of Solana be above $120 on February 26? | BUY | 0.997 | $3.00 |
| 02-24 01:15 | Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $3.66 |
| 02-24 01:15 | Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | BUY | 0.9949999011 | $3.37 |
| 02-24 01:15 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | BUY | 0.984999757 | $3.00 |
| 02-24 01:14 | Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | SELL | 0.952 | $15.23 |
| 02-24 01:14 | Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in February? | SELL | 0.997 | $9.97 |
| 09-29 11:22 | Will the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl 2026? | BUY | 0.992 | $40.83 |
| 08-31 12:59 | Will Ethereum reach $5000 in August? | BUY | 0.999 | $40.79 |
| 07-17 10:01 | Will Ethereum reach $4000 in July? | SELL | 0.72 | $40.63 |
| 03-29 13:49 | Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2025 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.992 | $32.16 |
| 03-29 13:48 | Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League? | SELL | 0.76 | $3.25 |
| 02-13 01:52 | Will Juventus win the UEFA Champions League? | BUY | 0.9869999629 | $21.54 |