LingerSoon
0x19f7b984c9bebd9d1bf3d4e16e0f0c2637378f22
- Realised P&L
- $-761.45
- Volume
- $22.4k
- Markets traded
- 59
- Open portfolio
- $102.57
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded59
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 25? · Up | 0.949 | 1.000 | $102.57 | +$5.18 |
| Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winner · TEAM VISION | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.95 |
| Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffs · Team Falcons | 0.525 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.50 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 9PM ET · Up | 0.920 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$105.61 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$324.88at 0.616Cardano ETF in 2025?
- +$96.80at 0.840US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
- +$58.85at 0.933US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?
- +$43.40at 0.380Dota 2: Heroic vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner
- +$24.30at 0.730Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 16:13 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 25? | BUY | 0.94375 | $15.10 |
| 09-25 16:12 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 25? | BUY | 0.95 | $9.50 |
| 09-25 16:12 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 25? | BUY | 0.95 | $72.79 |
| 09-25 16:11 | Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Yellow Submarine (BO5) - European Pro League Playoffs | SELL | 0.7908712311 | $94.95 |
| 09-25 15:29 | Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Yellow Submarine (BO5) - European Pro League Playoffs | BUY | 0.94 | $75.19 |
| 09-25 15:28 | Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Yellow Submarine (BO5) - European Pro League Playoffs | BUY | 0.93 | $13.95 |
| 09-25 15:28 | Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Yellow Submarine (BO5) - European Pro League Playoffs | BUY | 0.91 | $22.81 |
| 09-25 14:20 | Dota 2: GamerLegion vs 1win (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs | BUY | 0.98 | $58.80 |
| 09-25 12:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $103.12 |
| 09-25 12:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET | BUY | 0.96 | $100.00 |
| 09-15 01:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 9PM ET | BUY | 0.92 | $105.61 |
| 09-15 00:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 8PM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $100.00 |
| 09-14 23:58 | Dogecoin Up or Down - September 14, 7PM ET | BUY | 0.999 | $13.00 |
| 09-14 14:53 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on September 14? | BUY | 0.985 | $99.48 |
| 09-14 14:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 14? | SELL | 0.99 | $99.00 |