zeri15
0x19f70522e8f1ba78842107160f708d96d47b9ddb
- Realised P&L
- $66.18
- Volume
- $7.9k
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $340.03
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)95.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture Sloviansk by December 31? · No | 0.916 | 0.965 | $340.03 | +$17.36 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.00at 0.500Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-26?
- +$11.73at 0.995Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in November?
- +$7.86at 0.989Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?
- +$2.80at 0.440Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-25?
- +$1.96at 0.992Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-25 09:23 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-25? | BUY | 0.44 | $2.20 |
| 11-18 13:18 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in November? | SELL | 0.992 | $169.63 |
| 10-28 15:42 | Will Bitcoin reach $135k in October? | SELL | 0.99 | $100.98 |
| 10-27 14:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10AM ET | BUY | 0.79 | $3.95 |
| 10-27 14:24 | Will Bitcoin reach $135k in October? | BUY | 0.988 | $21.64 |
| 10-25 14:31 | Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-26? | BUY | 0.5 | $15.00 |
| 10-22 06:46 | Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31? | BUY | 0.2799998432 | $1.00 |
| 10-22 06:46 | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.96 | $1.00 |
| 10-22 06:46 | Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31? | BUY | 0.9699997866 | $1.00 |
| 10-22 06:46 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-10-22? | BUY | 0.86 | $4.30 |
| 10-22 06:45 | Will Ethereum dip to $2000 in October? | SELL | 0.993 | $14.89 |