0x19f45a25608CBF60F63a6BAD50354B74E83BC772-1775501223753
0x19f45a25608cbf60f63a6bad50354b74e83bc772
- Realised P&L
- $-3.2k
- Volume
- $563.9k
- Markets traded
- 5,527
- Open portfolio
- $59.97
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded5,527
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration9.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.037Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 28?
- +$1.1kat 0.421Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on July 19?
- +$693.76at 0.341Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 22?
- +$591.47at 0.116Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on July 17?
- +$542.32at 0.035Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C or higher on May 24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 12:58 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.82 | $7.55 |
| 10-15 12:58 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.8066666667 | $24.20 |
| 10-12 21:18 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on October 12? | BUY | 0.94 | $28.20 |
| 10-12 20:13 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on October 12? | BUY | 0.8397103004 | $23.48 |
| 10-12 19:58 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on October 12? | BUY | 0.8872233333 | $26.62 |
| 10-12 15:13 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.945 | $28.35 |
| 10-12 14:58 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.9433333333 | $28.30 |
| 10-09 12:18 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.9559166667 | $28.68 |
| 10-09 10:58 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.8135691318 | $12.65 |
| 10-07 19:48 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.8269266667 | $24.81 |
| 10-07 19:43 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.86 | $25.80 |
| 10-07 19:38 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.83 | $24.90 |
| 10-07 19:18 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.84 | $25.20 |
| 10-07 19:18 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.8495 | $25.48 |
| 10-07 04:58 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.9 | $27.00 |