Jesque
0x19f0a1e8b0eadf6e10d619982f3ba294d4ed3f53
- Realised P&L
- $11.86
- Volume
- $3.8k
- Markets traded
- 41
- Open portfolio
- $287.52
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded41
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample35 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.961 | 0.965 | $57.34 | +$0.21 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? · No | 0.940 | 0.945 | $56.70 | +$0.30 |
| Will Ethena reach $0.52 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.976 | 0.955 | $56.32 | −$1.27 |
| Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · No | 0.968 | 0.949 | $55.01 | −$1.13 |
| Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch? · No | 0.948 | 0.920 | $48.79 | −$1.46 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No | 0.964 | 0.953 | $13.36 | −$0.16 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.06at 0.940US x China tariff agreement by May 31?
- +$1.89at 0.969Will Lithuania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
- +$1.57at 0.959Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by May 31?
- +$1.11at 0.973Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
- +$0.95at 0.951Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-08 11:18 | Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15? | BUY | 0.9609999997 | $21.36 |