0x19e2cd8ef65d41672127e1595865dd22b04c7e90
0x19e2cd8ef65d41672127e1595865dd22b04c7e90
- Realised P&L
- $2.95
- Volume
- $220.58
- Markets traded
- 100
- Open portfolio
- $2.20
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded100
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $332 Week of October 19 2026? · No | 0.750 | 0.715 | $0.95 | −$0.05 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23? · Yes | 0.730 | 0.580 | $0.79 | −$0.21 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.300 | $0.45 | −$0.55 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.10at 0.268Will Trump say "Nuclear" during remarks at NASA?
- +$2.54at 0.288Will Warsh say "Anchor" or "Anchored" during September Press Conference?
- +$2.54at 0.288Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina?
- +$2.42at 0.319Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 Week of August 17 2026?
- +$2.00at 0.339Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 23:41 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $332 Week of October 19 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 15:41 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23? | BUY | 0.7299994744 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 07:02 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 14:08 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 06:02 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $785 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 09:59 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $345 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 01:23 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 06:25 | Will Interactive Brokers (IBKR) Q3 net interest income be above $1.1B? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 09:50 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 13:09 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on October 8? | BUY | 0.6689999177 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 04:18 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $112.50 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 17:16 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $182.50 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 20:15 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 12:14 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $193 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 04:13 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.5899997404 | $1.00 |