Polvps
0x19cf3ea142fa253e9e872ce5c00edb409fb5cdd1
- Realised P&L
- $-103.83
- Volume
- $37.6k
- Markets traded
- 2,273
- Open portfolio
- $71.75
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,273
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration20.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colts vs. Vikings · Colts | 0.298 | 0.290 | $43.77 | −$1.23 |
| 49ers vs. Falcons · Falcons | 0.370 | 0.345 | $27.97 | −$2.03 |
| LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs · Invictus Gaming | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers · Milwaukee Brewers | 0.086 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets · New York Mets | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.50 |
| CR Flamengo vs. EC Vitória: O/U 1.5 · Under | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds · Cincinnati Reds | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.50 |
| CA Talleres vs. CA Lanús: O/U 1.5 · Under | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will SS Lazio win on 2026-08-24? · No | 0.695 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 22? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.45 |
| Will AZ win on 2026-09-06? · No | 0.760 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Deportivo La Guaira win on 2026-08-10? · No | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes | 0.207 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox · Tampa Bay Rays | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| CR Flamengo vs. EC Vitória: CR Flamengo O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$183.56at 0.081Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?
- +$135.47at 0.507Texans vs. Jaguars
- +$110.12at 0.482Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox
- +$94.44at 0.375Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on July 22?
- +$76.49at 0.286Titans vs. Colts
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 05:25 | Colts vs. Vikings | BUY | 0.2981231478 | $45.00 |
| 10-20 05:25 | 49ers vs. Falcons | BUY | 0.3699999958 | $30.00 |
| 10-18 16:57 | Titans vs. Colts | BUY | 0.2799999978 | $30.00 |
| 10-18 16:57 | Panthers vs. Eagles | BUY | 0.4199999966 | $50.00 |
| 10-18 16:43 | Texans vs. Jaguars | SELL | 0.85 | $340.00 |
| 10-18 15:01 | Texans vs. Jaguars | BUY | 0.5 | $200.00 |
| 10-07 18:09 | Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox | BUY | 0.4699999988 | $100.00 |
| 09-27 10:28 | LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 3 Winner | BUY | 0.6169154183 | $30.00 |
| 09-15 09:53 | LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 3 Winner | BUY | 0.4299999991 | $10.00 |
| 09-15 09:52 | LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs | SELL | 0.91 | $13.38 |
| 09-15 09:33 | LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 4 Winner | BUY | 0.539999986 | $10.00 |
| 09-15 09:26 | LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs | BUY | 0.0899999998 | $15.00 |
| 09-15 09:24 | LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.2095238083 | $10.00 |
| 09-15 09:18 | LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs | BUY | 0.1299999982 | $5.00 |
| 09-15 09:06 | LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.4 | $10.00 |