stacie02
0x19c0d7941dbe7bce3f88e608bf434ed27b8d91e6
- Realised P&L
- $-99.59
- Volume
- $10.8k
- Markets traded
- 81
- Open portfolio
- $14.20
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded81
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration63.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (HIGH) 102.00 in September? · No | 0.919 | 0.956 | $14.20 | +$0.55 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.06at 0.640Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
- +$6.92at 0.610Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
- +$0.26at 0.996Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?
- +$0.22at 0.989Will US gov sell Bitcoin before March?
- +$0.09at 0.997Will Alibaba have the second best AI model on October 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-31 13:42 | Will Oracle be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $4.23 |
| 01-31 13:28 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in January? | BUY | 0.9989999801 | $22.53 |
| 01-30 15:54 | Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $31.08 |
| 01-30 13:18 | Will Opendoor reach $8.25 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $33.05 |
| 01-30 12:52 | Will Chainlink hit $21 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $39.00 |
| 12-30 10:29 | Putin out as President of Russia in 2025? | BUY | 0.9979998409 | $3.84 |
| 12-30 09:52 | Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31? | BUY | 0.9979998644 | $7.24 |
| 12-30 09:03 | Will XRP reach $3.50 before 2026? | BUY | 0.997999917 | $8.80 |
| 12-30 08:24 | Will Trump pardon Do Kwon in 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $13.67 |
| 12-29 23:03 | Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.00 |
| 12-29 21:21 | Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025? | BUY | 0.996 | $64.45 |
| 10-31 15:32 | Will Alibaba have the second best AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.997 | $28.38 |
| 10-30 17:58 | Will XRP reach $3.80 in October? | BUY | 0.999 | $31.32 |
| 09-29 16:57 | Will xAI have the top AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.59 |
| 09-29 14:47 | Will Mistral AI have the second best AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.9986517786 | $18.67 |