crsima
0x19ba6ceab7c2eec9304e42f2a3d0282d5aaacd21
- Realised P&L
- $-220.76
- Volume
- $54.0k
- Markets traded
- 51
- Open portfolio
- $0.74
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded51
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Scotland win on 2026-10-03? · No | 0.010 | 0.001 | $0.25 | −$4.75 |
| Exact Score: North Macedonia 0 - 3 Scotland? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.001 | $0.14 | −$19.86 |
| Exact Score: North Macedonia 1 - 2 Scotland? · Yes | 0.082 | 0.001 | $0.13 | −$20.44 |
| Switzerland vs. Slovenia: O/U 5.5 · Over | 0.090 | 0.001 | $0.08 | −$14.92 |
| Will Switzerland vs. Slovenia end in a draw? · Yes | 0.096 | 0.001 | $0.08 | −$14.62 |
| Switzerland vs. Slovenia: Draw at halftime? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.001 | $0.06 | −$9.94 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$289.02at 0.040Will Belarus win on 2026-09-29?
- +$165.58at 0.050Will Ceará SC win on 2026-10-02?
- +$161.65at 0.117Will CD Leganés win on 2026-10-03?
- +$131.51at 0.060Will Estonia win on 2026-09-29?
- +$130.80at 0.104Will Peru win on 2026-09-29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 20:31 | Will Switzerland vs. Slovenia end in a draw? | BUY | 0.0784 | $4.90 |
| 10-03 20:29 | Will Switzerland vs. Slovenia end in a draw? | BUY | 0.105 | $4.20 |
| 10-03 20:27 | Exact Score: North Macedonia 0 - 3 Scotland? | SELL | 0.180148688 | $61.79 |
| 10-03 20:23 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-10-03? | SELL | 0.11 | $42.31 |
| 10-03 20:21 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-10-03? | BUY | 0.13 | $6.97 |
| 10-03 20:17 | Exact Score: North Macedonia 0 - 3 Scotland? | BUY | 0.712 | $25.43 |
| 10-03 20:16 | Exact Score: North Macedonia 0 - 3 Scotland? | BUY | 0.708 | $24.41 |
| 10-03 20:15 | Exact Score: North Macedonia 0 - 3 Scotland? | BUY | 0.703 | $24.24 |
| 10-03 20:15 | Will Scotland win on 2026-10-03? | BUY | 0.01 | $5.00 |
| 10-03 20:08 | Exact Score: North Macedonia 0 - 3 Scotland? | BUY | 0.141 | $26.44 |
| 10-03 20:08 | Exact Score: North Macedonia 0 - 3 Scotland? | BUY | 0.13651875 | $27.30 |
| 10-03 19:16 | Switzerland leading at halftime? | SELL | 0.32 | $74.42 |
| 10-03 18:57 | Switzerland leading at halftime? | BUY | 0.51 | $147.11 |
| 10-03 18:52 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-10-03? | SELL | 0.52 | $158.89 |
| 10-03 18:46 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-10-03? | BUY | 0.72 | $220.00 |