PolyBot

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0x19B9042Ab47656abC5e653EC099e0E9239b53E94-1767888913920

0x19b9042ab47656abc5e653ec099e0e9239b53e94

Realised P&L
$-8.84
Volume
$347.14
Markets traded
18
Open portfolio
$12.22

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded18
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration53.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Denis Bećirović be the Bosniak Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election? · Yes0.3600.435$6.04+$1.04
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027? · No0.9100.795$4.37$0.63
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.3600.065$1.81$8.19
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00$1.00
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? · Yes0.3200.000$0.00$1.00
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$5.00
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 16? · Yes0.9900.000$0.00$5.00
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00$2.00
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00$5.00
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$1.00
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026? · Yes0.5600.000$0.00$1.00
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00$3.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-26 23:24Will Denis Bećirović be the Bosniak Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?BUY0.359999977$5.00
06-26 23:23Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?BUY0.2599999646$5.00
06-26 23:21Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?BUY0.549999956$5.00
06-26 23:20United States to score first vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina?BUY0.7338842931$6.00
06-26 23:20Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?BUY0.1099999815$5.00
06-24 19:46Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?BUY0.8479999953$10.00
06-17 17:44Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?BUY0.259999948$3.00
06-12 20:33Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?BUY0.5799999954$5.00
06-12 15:15Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?BUY0.279999972$6.00
06-12 14:10Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?BUY0.2$2.00
01-12 07:30Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?BUY0.5599998432$1.00
01-09 21:20Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.91$5.00
01-09 21:19Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 16?BUY0.99$5.00
01-09 21:18US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?BUY0.32$1.00
01-09 21:18Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?BUY0.1899998784$1.00