0x19B9042Ab47656abC5e653EC099e0E9239b53E94-1767888913920
0x19b9042ab47656abc5e653ec099e0e9239b53e94
- Realised P&L
- $-8.84
- Volume
- $347.14
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $12.22
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Denis Bećirović be the Bosniak Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.435 | $6.04 | +$1.04 |
| Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027? · No | 0.910 | 0.795 | $4.37 | −$0.63 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.065 | $1.81 | −$8.19 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 16? · Yes | 0.990 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.43at 0.280Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?
- +$5.41at 0.735Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?
- +$4.09at 0.550Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?
- +$2.18at 0.734United States to score first vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina?
- +$0.87at 0.920Will a new Cabinet of the Netherlands be sworn in by March 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-26 23:24 | Will Denis Bećirović be the Bosniak Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election? | BUY | 0.359999977 | $5.00 |
| 06-26 23:23 | Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.2599999646 | $5.00 |
| 06-26 23:21 | Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? | BUY | 0.549999956 | $5.00 |
| 06-26 23:20 | United States to score first vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina? | BUY | 0.7338842931 | $6.00 |
| 06-26 23:20 | Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.1099999815 | $5.00 |
| 06-24 19:46 | Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24? | BUY | 0.8479999953 | $10.00 |
| 06-17 17:44 | Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? | BUY | 0.259999948 | $3.00 |
| 06-12 20:33 | Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24? | BUY | 0.5799999954 | $5.00 |
| 06-12 15:15 | Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | BUY | 0.279999972 | $6.00 |
| 06-12 14:10 | Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.00 |
| 01-12 07:30 | Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5599998432 | $1.00 |
| 01-09 21:20 | Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.91 | $5.00 |
| 01-09 21:19 | Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 16? | BUY | 0.99 | $5.00 |
| 01-09 21:18 | US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 01-09 21:18 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BUY | 0.1899998784 | $1.00 |