PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

relaxingbar

0x19b18660d1c118bca4db20eec5e01e05e11345d6

Realised P&L
$-446.13
Volume
$156.3k
Markets traded
26
Open portfolio
$626.61

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded26
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample24 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)45.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration71.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes0.7800.750$450.00$18.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9200.966$96.55+$4.55
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9620.983$53.05+$1.11
Will Charlotte Hornets win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0090.005$27.00$17.18
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 29? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00$0.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-25 16:47Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?SELL0.01$25.29
07-25 16:21Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?SELL0.0133386929$51.43
07-25 13:17Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?BUY0.0297378839$57.75
07-25 11:49Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?BUY0.0278715441$47.73
07-25 10:13Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?SELL0.02$76.52
07-25 09:40Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?SELL0.0240357444$131.04
07-25 09:39Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 25?SELL0.06$13.54
07-25 08:18Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?SELL0.035$25.95
07-25 06:51Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 25?SELL0.07$8.89
07-25 04:33Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?BUY0.1$100.00
07-25 04:32Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 25?BUY0.1$4.00
07-25 02:28Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 25?BUY0.08$2.40
07-25 01:38Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?BUY0.13$34.16
07-25 01:22Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 25?BUY0.1$12.00
07-25 01:20Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?BUY0.13$52.00